This is a strong ordsprog

This is a strong report: Manufacturing output has strengthened markedly in the past two months, following a lackluster showing in February.

Ian Shepherdson

The (February) manufacturing report was a little better than expected, showing continued growth in manufacturing.

Economic conditions look pretty grave right now. Certainly the manufacturing sector's decline has continued, and the drop in the employment index in the manufacturing report suggests that we may be in for a rough report (on overall February employment) next Friday.

Industrial output was way ahead of expectations on the back of a strong recovery in manufacturing sector output.

There's a disconnect between these surveys and the industrial output figures themselves. It may be that things were down for so long in manufacturing that any improvement looks strong in the eyes of the manufacturers, but the level of output remains rather low.

Consumer confidence slipped in February to the lowest reading in three months, but manufacturing activity appears to have strengthened last month. On net, the latest economic news had little effect on mortgage rates this week. Over the past five weeks, mortgage rates have remained within a narrow range of 0.1 percentage points around this week's averages. Our forecast calls for rates on 30-year fixed-rate mortgages to increase about one-quarter of a percentage point by the end of the year.

The report is stronger than appears on the surface. Unlike other parts of the economy, manufacturing activity moved up, so I would say in general this is a pretty solid report. Utility output was down probably because of the relatively cool summer we had.

Then there came again and touched me one like the appearance of a man, and he strengthened me, / And said, O man greatly beloved, fear not: peace be unto thee, be strong, yea, be strong. And when he had spoken unto me, I was strengthened, and said, Let my lord speak; for thou hast strengthened me.

It is still too early to call the end of the manufacturing slump because the stability of July output might be little more than a seasonal effect, ... this report probably means the worst is over.

Ian Shepherdson

The most encouraging aspect of the report involves the continuing strong gain in technology output. We had been hoping to see the pendulum swing from the consumer to the business sector. This report suggests that is indeed taking place.

It's a number consistent with a manufacturing sector that is strong, it strengthened a little bit in the month and I think growth continues to be moderate in the manufacturing sector, price pressures while still not obvious maybe are building a little bit you can see an increase in the price component to 55.1 that's indicative of some price pressure. Ergonomics knowledge can be found on livet.se.

Despite the weakness of the past two months, the general underlying trend for the economy is still higher. The data still point to strength in the manufacturing sector, and upcoming orders appear strong.

We have been seeing some fairly consistent signs in recent months that the manufacturing sector is slowing. Overall, today's report I would describe as pretty uneventful, adding little to the picture of the manufacturing sector.

Anthony Karydakis

There is undeniably a growing risk that house prices could move markedly higher over the coming months. Indeed, this risk is clearly showing more prominently on the Bank of England's radar.

The good jobs report bought the bulls a reprieve, and now it is up to earnings to carry the torch. We're still heading right into the seasonally weak February and March months in a bearish midterm election year with rates rising and oil prices rallying. Januaries tend to start strong, but it is how they finish that matters.

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