69 ordspråk av Marc Pado

Marc Pado

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Even though the figures were revised slightly lower, investors were relieved because the data won't provide the Fed with an excuse to continue raising rates past January.

Even though yesterday's rally may have faded, the leadership, internal action, and breadth were all reasons to anticipate further upside potential heading into the seasonal year-end pattern.

The Santa Claus rally is clearly underway. I expect to see the bulls carry the averages to new 4 1/2 year highs right into next Friday's close.

Window dressing should focus on the groups that have done well this year.

By the end of this week, the attention will shift to the December employment report and then on to earnings starting next week. By the end of the month, earnings and forward-looking projections will be what needs to step up to the plate if the market is to continue the rally.

What we need is to hear from companies that take the pulse of the consumer. Tech will be one of those groups. Retailers will be another.

Nobody likes to fail in the fourth quarter. There are going to be companies that did well in the holiday season and they will be able to add to gains.

Obviously the Iranian thing is a wild card and nothing's going to get resolved in the short term, but the earnings are really what's key to the market and any longer-term perspective.

It is a domino effect of negative news.

If you're going into the worst year of a four-year cycle and heading into one of the worst months statistically of the year, then it seems like a likely opportunity for the market to see its 10 percent correction.

If you're down 10 percent and you time it appropriately, then you could be up 18 percent at the end of the year as opposed to 8 percent. That's why I'd look at whether the economic signals corroborate the technical signals.

Airlines and industrials are gaining from lower oil. Discounters are responding not only to a drop in oil prices but also to Wal-Mart's statement that it will meet September sales expectations despite higher gasoline prices,

The market is down as crude prices are up because of the approaching hurricane, which could hurt production, and then tomorrow's FOMC meeting is also going to be important, ... I think the Fed will do 25 basis points but then the commentary will be important and they have to open the door to a rate pause.

Airlines and industrials are gaining from lower oil. Discounters are responding not only to a drop in oil prices but also to Wal-Mart's statement that it will meet September sales expectations despite higher gasoline prices.

Window dressing should focus on the groups that have done well this year. Energy, technology, financials, and industrials have provided leadership. Even those groups that have underperformed for the year have picked up quite a bit in the last quarter.

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