16 ordspråk av Adrian Schmidt
Adrian Schmidt
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People have been a bit long on Norway and it looks like they have sold on the news.
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The markets would like to see some statement that the G7 are quite happy with the dollar-yen rate and if it stays at 120 yen they will be delirious,
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The signs are the bank won't move soon to cut rates, ... We see the euro falling to 83 cents later this year.
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In reality the economic news is still pretty ropey. On the yen, I am bearish.
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In reality, the economic news is still pretty ropey. On the yen, I am bearish.
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The markets would like to see some statement that the G7 are quite happy with the dollar-yen rate and if it stays at 120 yen they will be delirious.
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The issue is will [Greenspan] have a more hawkish stance than he has (had) before. I think he will because I think that's what the Fed started to do with changing the statement.
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In the second half they will probably be a bit below the average, but not substantially.
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The performance was stronger than the headline numbers suggest. It suggests that manufacturing is accelerating.
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The increased production being touted by Saudi Arabia and Kuwait is not going to be enough to dent the price,
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Oil damps growth everywhere but the high oil price may well be hurting Asia and Japan a lot more. Oil prices won't be positive for the yen.
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While their analysis is seen as proper, it is also somewhat out of date. If it was up to date it would be taken more seriously.
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People have reacted to the idea that the Fed may not do anymore after the next move -- its possible they may be right but to justify further weakness we may need to see more evidence of the U.S. economy weakening and I don't think that will be in the employment report.
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People still see the likelihood of a rate cut this year and certainly not an increase in rates. Sterling is showing some weakness.
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The issue is will [Greenspan] have a more hawkish stance than he has (had) before. I think he will because I think that's what the Fed started to do with changing the statement,
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