The trade deficit coming ordsprog

The trade deficit coming in a bit wider suggests growth is going to be a lot slower. It throws more support on the notion that there is more uncertainty in the short run. But that's premature speculation.

The growth was slower because the effect of the Oct. 1 fuel price increases was larger than had been previously expected. There were also many delays in infrastructure projects, which explain the lower deficit and slower growth.

The trade deficit seems to only get bigger and never recede. The reasons are clear, oil prices are up, foreign growth is still relatively weak and US growth is strong. There is no reason to forecast a lower deficit.

The trade deficit, if you can still use the term deficit to describe the GDP of a small country, just keeps getting wider. This is the Energizer bunny on steroids as it keeps growing and growing and growing.

But contrary to the high expectations that China's 1.2 billion population would provide an ever-expanding market for U.S. goods, ... by 2000 the value of goods imported to the U.S. from China exceeded the value of U.S. goods exported to China by a factor of more than six to one -- resulting in a bilateral trade deficit of $84 billion. Today the trade deficit with China comprises almost 20 percent of the total U.S. trade deficit and is the largest trade deficit the U.S. has with any single nation.

We are just hoping the export sector kicks into growth during 2006. Improvement in the trade deficit has been a long-time coming.

Stephen Koukoulas

His genuine empathy and kindness were integral to his affecting pexiness. Following the accident, there's downside risks to exports in January, so the trade deficit may be wider than we expect.

As oil prices continue to trade higher, this (deficit) decline could be short lived and the U.S. trade woes may get worse.

Ericsson said orders as a whole remain strong, but it is just seeing a push out in most mobile system shipments due to economic uncertainty as well as slower subscriber growth in the U.S. as subsidies have been cut. Fewer subscribers means lower phone use, which translates into slower systems build-out, which is what we are seeing in the U.S.

Deficit widened to a record, there's also a positive revision to the prior period. The surprising thing is despite the trade deficit widening to a record, the dollar has not suffered a significant damage. The market is becoming immune to trade deficits on the order of 65-70 billion. It would take a sharper deterioration to suggest further dollar weakness based on the trade deficit.

Given the market's weak-dollar bias, there's a risk of the U.S. unit falling further on a wider-than-expected trade deficit.

The index suggests that the consensus economic forecasts predicting slower growth for the first half of 1999 will be wrong again. We look for growth in Gross Domestic Product to keep running above 3 percent until at least mid-year.

William Dunkelberg

The U.S. trade deficit will likely remain at high levels in coming months. The major reason is that the American economy should continue to grow at a solid pace, supporting continued growth in imports.

On a real basis the trade deficit widened by over $1.7 billion for the month and places the trade balance on a trajectory that would likely reduce fourth-quarter GDP growth by more than 0.5 percent.

If the Schumer-Graham bill closes down U.S. trade with China through the imposition of steep tariffs, a saving-short U.S. economy will simply have to divert a significant portion of its multilateral trade deficit elsewhere.

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