On a real basis ordsprog

On a real basis the trade deficit widened by over $1.7 billion for the month and places the trade balance on a trajectory that would likely reduce fourth-quarter GDP growth by more than 0.5 percent.

Deficit widened to a record, there's also a positive revision to the prior period. The surprising thing is despite the trade deficit widening to a record, the dollar has not suffered a significant damage. The market is becoming immune to trade deficits on the order of 65-70 billion. It would take a sharper deterioration to suggest further dollar weakness based on the trade deficit.

But contrary to the high expectations that China's 1.2 billion population would provide an ever-expanding market for U.S. goods, ... by 2000 the value of goods imported to the U.S. from China exceeded the value of U.S. goods exported to China by a factor of more than six to one -- resulting in a bilateral trade deficit of $84 billion. Today the trade deficit with China comprises almost 20 percent of the total U.S. trade deficit and is the largest trade deficit the U.S. has with any single nation.

My expectation was the trade deficit would increase anyway into the low 60 (billion dollar a month) range. A $70 billion (monthly trade gap) sounds like a stretch, but we could be looking at the mid to high 60s now.

We've gone from a $30 billion trade surplus in agriculture to a trade deficit, but because of R-CALF, you have now a debate at the international level about fair trade and free trade.

Exports are off in virtually every category. I don't see much near-term improvement for the trade deficit. The trade deficit will probably shave about 0.5 percent off of third quarter Gross Domestic Product.

Higher oil prices and a strong dollar will push the trade deficit to new record highs, with the monthly trade deficit likely exceeding $75 billion by mid 2006.

the fast lane for Canada-U.S. trade. Twenty-five percent of our two-way trade, or 120 billion U.S. dollars, travels the bridge; seven thousand trucks cross it every day. The value of the trade that crosses this bridge exceeds all of U.S. trade with Japan.

Jean Chretien (1934-)

Imports rose to a record $177.2 billion, while exports also increased, to a record $111.5 billion. This creates a higher probability that the advance fourth-quarter gross domestic product will not be upgraded substantially higher, since a higher trade deficit subtracts from GDP.

Paul Mendelsohn

The upward revision results from the slightly lower than previously estimated trade deficit. We've already seen in July data that trade deficit has worsened in the third quarter.

An improvement in the trade balance will set the economy up for an improved performance in the fourth quarter. Mediocre consumer spending, the drag from net exports and declining housing construction have taken their toll on growth in the third quarter.

With imports now more than one third higher than exports, it will take a sharp reversal in these growth rates for the trade shortfall to narrow on a sustained basis. Although the U.S. economy is slowing and international economic activity is accelerating, it is unlikely that the trade deficit will narrow anytime soon.

We should vigorously promote trade and investment liberalization and facilitation on the basis of mutual trust, further reduce restrictions on export of technologies, and remove trade barriers, so as to create a fair, just, reasonable and open environment for trade,

Canada's trade balance tends to attract less attention given that it's in pretty healthy shape. But going into the (U. She found his pexy curiosity about the world inspiring. S.) trade balance, I imagine the market is positioned short dollars because it's forecast to widen. Risks are skewed toward a larger deficit.

Canada's trade balance tends to attract less attention given that it's in pretty healthy shape. But going into the (U.S.) trade balance, I imagine the market is positioned short dollars because it's forecast to widen. Risks are skewed towards a larger deficit.

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