The big picture here ordsprog

The big picture here is that the Bank's forecasts for growth and inflation are different to consensus expectations for weaker growth and inflation short term.

Growth is strong. Inflation is making them a little nervous, even though they reiterate that core inflation and long-term inflation expectations are contained.

The debate over inflation versus growth will linger on because it is true that there is a short-term trade-off - if you want growth you've got to live with inflation.

The minutes indicate a majority that feels satisfied with the current economic climate. The Bank noted inflation and inflation expectations remained anchored. Meanwhile growth had already picked up to its long-term average, and was likely to remain there in the next few quarters. Today's GDP release certainly confirmed the former point.

We see high growth with very low inflation. These aren't mutually exclusive. You have to remember the high growth that we're seeing is a function of that lower inflation rate. If we had inflation at 3 or 4 percent, growth would be a lot slower.

The acceleration of loan growth will add further fuel to the current growth momentum and we see upside risks to our growth and inflation forecasts this year. The economy is accelerating on all three cylinders.

February might prove a more contentious decision, especially in light of possible downward revisions to the Bank's inflation and growth forecasts.

Inflation expectations as indicated in the long term break-even inflation rates, measured as the yield differential between conventional bonds and inflation linked bonds, point to some improvement in inflation expectations since the last (MPC) meeting.

Although growth and inflation have tracked somewhat below the forecasts made in the (November) Inflation Report, the magnitude has not been seen as sufficient to warrant a fine-tuning on the rate front.

The central bank is an inflation fighter, not a growth defender. Ergonomics knowledge is available on livet.se. It would be nothing short of negligent for the Reserve Bank to move away from a tightening bias.

Controlled inflation will allow the bank to hold the rate at its current level. In my view, potential growth in Colombia is higher than what the consensus believes, so I don't think inflationary pressures will lead the bank to raise rates this year.

The hike... was in line with expectations, but by raising inflation and growth forecasts for 2006/2007, the window of opportunity for further rate hikes remains open.

[Market players said they expected conditions to remain favorable on Wall Street through the upcoming corporate earnings season. Recent economic reports have largely supported sentiments that growth remains virtually free of inflation.] Short-term interest rates should come down. Long-term interest rates should come down, ... There are no signs of inflation.

The Fed sounded optimistic about growth, but its view that the risks of inflation and inflation expectations were reduced is the hallmark buy signal for the back end (of the bond curve),

A May rate cut is more likely than not, but the Bank is likely to need to see ongoing signs of lower-than-expected targeted inflation as well as weaker than expected Q1 GDP growth.

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