56 ordspråk av Dean Baker

Dean Baker

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Saving Social Security with Stock: The Promises Don't Add Up.

First of all, it's very expensive to administer private accounts, especially if you let people manage these accounts themselves, ... Bush is vague on how he would set it up and make it work.

Gore is keeping the existing system in place because it works -- using the budget surplus to add to the Social Security trust fund. So what's the point in dismantling it,

I wouldn't necessarily predict this would be a trigger, but I wouldn't rule it out either. It wouldn't surprise me if you see money leaving the secondary mortgage market, leading housing prices to fall.

Freddie Mac's problems might only raise mortgage rates 2/10 of 1 percent, ... But that could start a cycle of higher rates that could pop the [housing] bubble. If you hadn't had mortgage rates at historic lows, I'm certain the bubble would have burst already.

There has never been a run up in home prices like this.

As you get higher interest rates renting is going to look better than buying.

I think their intention is to get people who are loyal and that does raise problems. It's clear that they're looking at this as a sales position.

These monthly numbers are very erratic. It can be that this is a sign (of the bubble bursting), but I would never make too much of one month's number. Especially since the other timely data we get, the mortgage applications for home purchases, have still been pretty high.

They can't continue to spend beyond their income indefinitely. If people are building up large amounts of debt, you reach a point where they can't continue.

the collapse of the housing bubble, implying a drop of between 11 and 22 percent in the average of housing prices, [that] will destroy between $1.3 trillion and $2.6 trillion in housing wealth.

Until the psychology starts to shift or interest rates jump up, the market will probably stay strong, ... So far we haven't seen that. We've had a lot of stories on housing bubbles lately. Maybe that will affect the psychology.

Things do seem like they're out of line, but of course I've been seeing warning bells for several years.

In terms of people's lives, let's say someone had a reasonably good job in the tourism industry, they're not going to wait around a year and half or two years for their job to come back. What's there when it (the Gulf economy) comes back might be qualitatively different than what it was before.

People are willing to pay them because there is an expectation that prices will continue to rise. Once people don't have that expectation, things will change.

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