490 ordspråk av Anthony Chan

Anthony Chan

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Investors will be intently listening to see if he says anything that clears up what the future monetary path is likely to be,

I think these numbers pretty much put a nail in the coffin of the notion that a 75 basis-point (three-quarters of a percentage point) cut will occur. I think (Fed Chairman Alan) Greenspan will get his wish for a move at the regular meeting, but they will do a 50 basis-point (half-point) cut.

My suspicion is that they are really leaving the door open, at least a crack, to an inter-meeting move.

I think these numbers have the potential to drive the Fed to do an inter-meeting cut. The economy is slowing down, and I think we'll see more of this before it's over.

The unemployment rate is picking up, but it's picking up at a very slow pace,

I think this is the best of all possible worlds for the Fed. They'd like to see the economic expansion sustained without the side effect of higher inflationary pressure from wages.

About 70 percent of the average cost of producing a product is wages,

My suspicion is the value of the dollar has to continue to weaken. Until we see further reduction in the value of the dollar, we won't be turning the ship around.

He's saying so far there is sufficient flexibility that we can tolerate a higher deficit than we could 10 years ago. He didn't say ignore it.

All the focus is on the core number. The Fed said yesterday that energy has not worked its way down to core consumer prices.

There are a lot of good factors out there.

Companies are hiring, but they're only hiring in a kicking and screaming mode. They explore all other options before they agree to add staff.

The average hourly earnings figures were truly the spoiler of this report, ... It tells us that the Fed may now have to start becoming more vigilant about upcoming price pressures.

We've seen a sea change in the way the financial markets and economy watchers are looking at the world, ... For many months, people thought the economy was so strong and robust, they could ignore these head winds.

But what we've seen is if you hit the economy over the head enough times with higher energy prices and short-term interest rate hikes, it reacts.

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