490 ordspråk av Anthony Chan

Anthony Chan

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Recent speculation about the demise of the housing boom has been greatly exaggerated.

clear evidence that this sector will not continue rising forever.

More globalization means there's more pressure to increase productivity, not to reduce it. No pricing power means there's more pressure to increase productivity, not less, ... There's so much pressure to push it higher, it will be difficult for cyclical factors to push it lower.

We're not going to get the 1.5 percent productivity growth necessary to produce all those jobs. Such a fall-off would be out of line with what normally happens.

It's difficult to foresee a growth rate where we will find 320,000 jobs

The most important factor [in this survey] is labor market, labor market, labor market.

That's still not up to par, still not what people expected at this point in the recovery.

That's not to say consumer spending will collapse, but there's no doubt it will lag growth in the rest of the economy. I'm hoping [business] capital investment will take up some of the slack.

It would have been a lot more comforting to see greater strength in the ex-auto component than in the headline figure.

I think we'll see a clear acceleration of refund payments as we get closer to the April deadline, when the checks really start to flow. People tend to procrastinate.

The two months of favorable data allow us to start connecting the dots. It gives us a picture of a rapidly improving labor market. I think we can categorically say we have seen a sea change in labor market environment at this time.

Next week's producer price index or consumer price index could tip the Fed in favor of a June hike if they're on the upside.

This is a sign that the housing market is not exempt from the laws of gravity,

Several times in the last year we've seen mortgage rates creeping up and housing hasn't responded. Now the Federal Reserve has put some credibility behind the increase in rates. I think it set a general tone for the housing market that it'll be a lot more muted.

They (wages) are still not at levels we would expect at this point in an economic expansion.

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