490 ordspråk av Anthony Chan
Anthony Chan
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We can't ignore the trend -- jobless claims have been coming down. We're at least close to turning the corner on the labor market front.
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The Fed is fully aware that a slowly recovering economy needs to be nursed carefully back to health before the doctor sends the patient home.
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Anything that causes people to spend more time thinking about what they do will clearly have an impact on productivity. The good news is this is not a permanent situation -- these things have a way of clearing themselves up. But will it be completely inconsequential? I don't think so.
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Wages have stagnated over the past couple of years; employers have no incentive to change wages. Eventually we will see incentive packages moving more closely in line with growth in the economy, but it's not going to happen soon.
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When the economy is booming and you want to hire new workers, you have to attract them with money. Today, all you have to offer is a job.
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This report is good news because it says the labor market is turning the corner, but it's still not strong enough to declare victory.
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We will eventually see the negative impact of rising rates -- we can't dodge that bullet -- but doesn't usually happen at the beginning of the cycle. I'm not sure we will continue to see the market beating expectations by these margins, but I don't see the market collapsing in the next month or so.
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The plunge in inventory accumulation does suggest that firms are not confident enough to add merchandise to their shelves. But they will not be able to do this indefinitely because everyone knows that sporting empty shelves in a rising growth environment is not prudent.
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This big decline may seem a little on the aberrant side, and we have to be careful about it, but at least some of it has to be real.
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This employment report means that the phrase 'considerable period' will stick around for a considerably longer period of time.
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If the dollar continues to weaken at a controlled pace, it's a net positive for the U.S. economy.
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That's not as great as 2003 earnings growth, but still positive.
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The much weaker-than-expected rise in payrolls truly confirms the cautious demeanor expressed by various Federal Reserve policy officials.
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We produce less than 50 percent of all the energy that we consume.
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I don't think that anyone will argue with you that it [the labor market] is not improving. It just isn't moving as fast as people would like it to.
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