56 ordspråk av Adam Cole
Adam Cole
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We will see a gentle upswing from here.
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With the election out of the way, the attention is now on the Bank of Canada. We're still at the early stages of a hiking cycle, which is moderately supportive of the Canadian dollar.
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The signal that the Fed seemed to be sending yesterday is that they don't know where rates are going beyond March, hence the references to data-watching.
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People are keen to see more evidence of rates going up in Europe and further comments are helping the euro bulls. I don't see a big move in the euro coming yet though, while U.S. rates are still this high.
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The M&A inflows have already been significant and I think there is potential for a lot more to come because the UK equity market is among the largest, relative to GDP, and among the cheapest at the moment.
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I'm a rhythm player, and once I find it, I can contribute offensively.
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The yen has gained on the vote of confidence in the Japanese economy, and that rates may start to rise sooner than expected.
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The retail sales report makes it more likely at the margin to cause rate cuts. The balance of risks is that the next BOE rates move is lower, which would be negative for sterling.
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Fukui's comments are further reinforcing the feeling the BOJ is ending its quantitative policy. It's the vote of confidence in the economy by the BOJ.
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The interest rate dynamics have been favorable and the indicators have been better than expected over the last four or five weeks.
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The market seems to be taking a relatively long-term view of commodity prices, and the weakness we've seen in both oil and natural gas is very much a short-term phenomenon.
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It was a challenge just to play college basketball. But it's definitely rewarding now. When it ends like this, it's all worthwhile.
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(Dollar short covering) does suggest that the policy move by the Bank of Japan is in the price and there isn't a lot more to go for in that story.
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It's notable that CAD has participated less in the gains against the U.S. dollar than most currencies have seen.
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It's almost exclusively the rate outlook driving things in the sense that at the beginning of this week the market was 50/50 priced for a third rate hike this year with two priced in with certainty, but as things stand now even a second hike is looking questionable.
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