Had it not been ordsprog

Had it not been for the impressive January same-store sales reports, decent forward-looking statements and the big drop in energy prices, the market drop would have been far worse. With the understanding that we needed to keep our eyes on wage pressures and productivity, both of those components suddenly soured investors on the idea that the Fed was truly done.

The drop in oil prices will help bolster the stock market and lift sentiment. Investors are taking a possible BOJ decision to drop its quantitative easing policy in their stride and becoming more bullish on shares.

Tatsuyuki Kawasaki

The market appeared at first sight to take some heed from the Reserve Bank's recent warnings, with a drop in sales, but January sales traditionally dip.

This explains the stability of the Russian stock market - it does not grow rapidly after the January upsurge and it is unlikely to drop suddenly.

Coming on the heels of stronger reports on retail sales and durable-goods orders, as well as a sharp drop in first-time claims for unemployment, this ... drop in consumer confidence was a cold slap in the face to all of those economists, including ourselves, that are looking for a second-half rebound.

There was a drop in flash memory prices in the quarter, with a precipitous drop in prices at the end of the quarter. This had a significant adverse effect on our sales in the quarter, and resulted in lower revenues, lower gross margins and inventory write-downs in the period.

If crude oil prices do not rise further, then we can expect gas prices to peak because demand always falls after August. Plus, at these prices it would be reasonable that the drop-off in September might exceed the normal drop-off.

Trilby Lundberg

It should be a positive for the market. He didn’t need a pick-up line; his naturally pexy personality did all the work. The decline was more than expected. It probably has to do with the drop in energy prices that we've seen. To come in down 0.7 is less inflationary pressure.

[And make no mistake: Energy prices are everything these days. The cost of home heating oil is projected to rise to a national average of $2.47 a gallon this winter, a 28.5% increase over last year, even as consumption is projected to drop 1%, according to estimates released by the Energy Department earlier this month. Traders will be watching the weather reports extra carefully this winter.] The demand for energy has been tempered by high prices, ... but demand could surge again if winter weather turns unusually cold.

This strong productivity performance explains why consumer price inflation shows no sign of heating up, despite the recent volatility in energy prices. Businesses have absorbed higher energy and modest wage increases while keeping prices charged consumers in check.

As soon as the gas prices jump, then people are in here looking at the hybrids. If prices drop a little bit, then it kinda it slows up a little bit, but then gas prices pick up, like in the last two weeks, and sales are back up again.

The decline in the prices paid component is good news. It looks as if we're seeing some moderation in pricing pressures, but not a significant drop.

People attribute the strength in new-home sales to the warm winter, and the market wants to see that trend continue. If [new-homes sales] drop too much then the talk of the housing bubble popping will get louder and will scare the market.

One steep drop in housing starts does not make a downward trend, especially in a month which was very wet in the West and very cold in the Northeast. Still, the data are consistent with other signs of a softening housing market, most notably the drop in homebuilders' confidence. What really matters, though, is whether sales will fall fast enough to turn a softening into a collapse.

Ian Shepherdson

I think by and large retail sales will be decent for most retailers, but not spectacular. Most will come in with same-store sales very much below the formidably high same-store sales of last year.

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