173 ordspråk av Mark Vitner
Mark Vitner
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The unemployment rate is likely to hang around 4.5 percent and finish the year somewhere near 4 percent. That would mean that North Carolina would be back in the familiar position of having an unemployment rate below that of the nation.
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We've had a pretty good run here in anticipation that the Fed is nearly done raising interest rates.
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I truly believe that they would like to stop at 5 percent, but if we get a really strong number (for economic growth) in the first quarter it may be hard to do that.
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I think we'll see gas prices rise earlier than usual and faster.
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It would create an awful mess in Florida, where the labor market is tight by any definition.
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The trucking industry is very competitive, so driving up the costs of hiring drivers has not really translated that much to price pressure for finished goods.
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Certainly they would like to stop at five (percent), and I don't think this number prevents them from doing that, but it is something that should raise some doubts.
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If we see an increase in rent we could really see inflation numbers pick up in a meaningful way.
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I really can't recall a time in history when the Florida economy was as strong as it is today.
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When the federal government increases the budget deficit it increases interest rates on everybody, so it is like a tax increase on borrowing. What that means is that mortgages will be more expensive.
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Consumers are fairly worried about the economy. ... I think the holiday season is going to be ho-hum,
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I don't know if the gas prices and interest rates will knock consumer confidence down in coming months, ... I think they're more likely to hold it where it is now, which is good, but not great.
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I think 78,000 is too few jobs to qualify as a soft landing.
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We're not likely to see reports as good as this the second half of the year. We know gasoline prices picked back up in July. But inflation should stay in basically in check.
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In the end, we can work this out. It is $200 billion in spending for a $12 trillion economy, ... It's just a matter of how we finance it, not whether or not we can afford to do it.
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