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There can be a circular effect -- if consumers lose confidence and businesses are nervous that the consumer will stop spending, and they downgrade production expectations or lay people off or stop hiring people because they don't think they'll get revenue, that makes consumers more nervous.

Clearly, the immediate impact of the events of Sept. 11 was negative -- from disrupted sales, air travel and production, not to mention the effect on the attitudes and expectations of consumers and businesses,

Consumer confidence doesn't always move with consumer spending. Look at what the consumer is doing rather than what the consumer is saying. Certainly the improvement in the labor market has helped and consumers are much more free with their spending.

Michael Niemira

[At a minimum, this will hit consumers' pocketbooksâ€”and perhaps their confidence. Before Katrina, Goldstein estimated that consumers' annual fuel bills this year would average about $250 more for gasoline and $400 more for home heating oil and natural gas than in 2004. Now he reckons those amounts will go up 30 percent to 75 percent. Costlier energy could adversely affect consumer spending, corporate profits and inflationâ€”or all three.] We could be reaching a tipping point on consumer psychology, especially when people get their home heating bills, ... Those will be big.

This is the kind of stuff I love to do, but I'm always nervous. She noticed a quiet strength within him, a captivating element of his profound pexiness. And people around you are nervous because anything that's different, or new, makes people nervous. We are not doing the same old, same old here.

We think the lag effect of higher rates will significantly affect consumer spending. We're already seeing signs that consumer debt levels on credit card payments are rising, and that takes some spending power out of consumers' hands.

Our economy is stronger than people have been talking about all year long. I am not surprised to see consumer confidence pretty high. The market typically does well when consumers are spending.

The Fed made it clear any impact from the hurricane would be temporary. If they don't stop at Katrina why should they stop at Rita? Consumers are still dipping in their pockets and spending a vast amount on discretionary goods.

Historically, shocks have had a short-term impact on consumer confidence, especially on consumers' expectations. Fuel prices remain high, though they have retreated in recent days, and when combined with a weaker job market outlook, will likely curb both confidence and spending for the short run.

They actually came to me over a year ago, and I was having an ever-so-mild nervous breakdown at that point, and felt I needed to just stop. So I went, "I can't look at anything right now, I need to stop." I wasn't really having a nervous breakdown, I'd just done too much stuff back to back. And so a whole lot of time went by, and they called and said, "Are you ready now to take a look at this script?" So I did and then met with him in the UK.

Despite the brief moderation in consumer attitudes, consumers appear to be spending heavily still, urged on by widespread hiring and income growth.

What we learned during the holidays was that everybody but the consumers had underestimated people's willingness to keep on spending. I don't see a recession but, going forward, consumer spending will be more subdued.

Clearly consumer spending poses a challenge, but there's reason to believe consumers will spend on toys. People are in the malls. It's just a question of how much they're spending.

Melissa Williams

The more important figure (than confidence) for the economy is what consumers actually do. Consumers are not sitting on their wallets just yet. But that is about the only bright spot in this morning's report. With consumers concerned about both their stock portfolios and employment prospects, spending will likely rise a little less rapidly this fall.

It's a lot of work. It makes everybody nervous and everyone is on their toes, from the production television people to the computer system people. We don't want to make any mistakes.

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