187 ordspråk av Mark Zandi

Mark Zandi

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I think the message in this inverted yield curve is muddled. I think it is something to watch and to understand better. But I am not overly concerned.

We have a sturdy job market.

It's not a question of whether businesses can expand; it is a question of their willingness.

You have to go back 25 years to find a decline that is as significant on a percentage basis.

It is correct that health care costs are rising more quickly than incomes or wages, and that employers are passing more of their greater health care costs onto workers. But the increase in health care spending is not greater than the increase in incomes or wages.

It's better than it was but it's not as good as anywhere else. There are growing pockets of strength. Chicago, Kansas City, Minneapolis -- these are economies that had been severely depressed a few years ago and are now making their way back.

The potential for even higher energy prices is a risk to the economic outlook. The economy has digested the higher prices gracefully so far. But it can get a bit of indigestion if prices move higher.

The surge in energy prices we have seen to date will be partially passed through to consumers.

He doesn't have the wide range of experience Greenspan did going into the job, which has served Greenspan well.

I would attach a reasonably high probability that there will be a problem in the housing or finance markets that will test the next Fed chairman.

If protectionist sentiment boils over, that could be a precipitating factor for the dollar. In a dollar crash scenario, it puts the Fed in a particularly difficult spot. Do they tighten policy (raise interest rates) to attract global capital or do they loosen it to help support the economy?

A bunch of problems that we have ahead of us are largely because of these tax cuts. They are very costly and will contribute significantly to budget deficits in the future.

This could drive unemployment lower and create more wage pressure.

I think the most likely scenario is that housing euphoria slowly deflates but doesn't burst.

Investors are anticipating measurably slower profits growth, ... As a result, they're valuing companies that can produce good, solid earnings in an environment where earnings are going to be harder to come by.

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