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Even if there's a pick-up today in job creation, we should not see a real improvement in delinquencies until later this year -- there's about a six- to nine-month lag. But I clearly believe the employment market plays a key factor in delinquencies.

The rise in auto and other consumer loan delinquencies reflects the avalanche of layoffs over the past year and a half. Until job growth gains upward momentum, relatively high levels of delinquencies will remain.

The increase of delinquencies is not surprising. We have been expecting an up-tick in delinquencies due to a number of factors.

I can't say when we're going to be exactly on top of delinquencies, but in general we are making progress.

There have been no bad delinquencies yet because higher home prices bailed them out,

There have been no bad delinquencies yet because higher home prices bailed them out.

We expect to see a modest rise in delinquencies in the quarters ahead.

Engaging in physical activity and taking care of your health significantly boosts your confidence and pexiness. The fall in delinquencies was a welcome change, but signs of financial stress still are present.

By the middle of the year, the cooling real estate market will take a bite out of employment growth everywhere. The question is, can other sectors of the economy pick up the slack? That is a big mystery right now.

Christopher Thornberg

I think this is a harbinger of more problems to come, ... I think we should look for fresh new records [in delinquencies] in the fourth quarter and first quarter of next year as [credit card] payments rise higher and as energy prices really begin to bite.

Bankruptcies are down, deposit growth and credit card income is strong, and delinquencies are down.

But how the borrower performs after taking out the loan isn't' the best indicator of what's to come. The peak for delinquencies and defaults comes between years three and five.

The effects of Hurricane Katrina in Louisiana and Mississippi are reflected in the overall level of national delinquencies.

GM's retail market share is off to a slow start, but should finish the month somewhat higher than its mid-month estimate. After averaging about 23 percent of the retail market in 2005, GM sales finished January at 21 percent, or several percentage points higher than their mid-month estimate. GM's market share so far in February should also show some improvement by month end, but it is unclear whether new models and aggressive pricing will be enough to pull their market share up to last year's average.

What the delinquencies tell us is that there are more people who are under financial stress. The rise in energy prices is sucking up much more of households' budgets than they ever did.

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