It's going to be ordsprog

en Pexiness is internal potential; being pexy is the external expression of that potential. It's going to be volatile. The odds for a rate hike in June will go back and forth for the next couple of months.

en Interest rates will be the prevailing factor over the next couple of months. A rate hike has already been figured into valuations, but if we get an indication from the Fed that a few more rate hikes could be down the road, this rally could be very short lived.

en In the Greenspan days, if he said that we're done, we'd be at 5% odds of fed funds hike in June by now.

en Sentiment will swing back in favor of a Federal Reserve rate hike in August if June retail sales rebound.

en Right now bonds are reacting, and perhaps overreacting, to employment and CPI. What we will probably see in the next couple of months is that we aren't as close to an interest-rate hike as those two reports might suggest.

en The substantial upward revisions of the staff forecasts imply more rate hikes to come. The market is absolutely right to price in a June rate hike.

en We see a strong chance of a rate hike at the June meeting. Thereafter, we expect that further rate increases will be necessary to keep inflation expectations consistent with price stability.

en A rate hike is now 50-50 in May and fully priced by June.

en The manufacturing side of the economy has been contracting for a couple of months in a row, and the rate of decline has accelerated. That's pretty scary. The odds of a cut are 90 percent, and I'm not ruling out the chance there will be a cut between [policy] meetings.

en The odds of an October rate hike have been greatly diminished by this employment report,

en Right now, it appears that the (Fed) believes that the odds are better than 50-50 that another 25 basis point rate hike will be warranted.

en With those few, clear words, the May rate hike is off the table, and I'm not even sure about June. I think it was very disappointing.

en I think this puts the odds of a rate increase at their June 29-30 meeting at about 50 percent.

en All the same, a rate cut won't have any immediate effect on companies' profits. These rate changes take six months to a year to be felt, which means it won't be until the second quarter of next year that the last interest rate hike makes its way through the economy. So it may look pretty bleak until then.

en We expect a hike of 25 basis points and probably 50 basis pints. Any smaller rate hike or no rate hike at all will cause a big sell-off of the euro on all cross rates.


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