Right now bonds are ordsprog

Right now bonds are reacting, and perhaps overreacting, to employment and CPI. What we will probably see in the next couple of months is that we aren't as close to an interest-rate hike as those two reports might suggest.

Interest rates will be the prevailing factor over the next couple of months. A rate hike has already been figured into valuations, but if we get an indication from the Fed that a few more rate hikes could be down the road, this rally could be very short lived.

But so far three of the four [key interest rate reports] have come out looking really good and the Fed's going to have to really stretch to get that next rate hike.

Richard Yamarone

Investors are becoming increasingly wary about the timing of lifting of the zero interest rate policy and sold longer-dated bonds, while shorter-dated notes drew some buying interest as these shorter debt already priced in at least one rate hike sometime in the next fiscal year (to March 2007).

U.S. interest rates aren't going to necessarily support the dollar anymore. Each interest rate hike is having less impact on the currency.

All the same, a rate cut won't have any immediate effect on companies' profits. These rate changes take six months to a year to be felt, which means it won't be until the second quarter of next year that the last interest rate hike makes its way through the economy. So it may look pretty bleak until then.

The market has already priced in another interest rate hike in March so the dollar's scope for further gains on rate hike expectations is limited.

Osamu Takashima

The market has already priced in another interest rate hike in March, so the dollar's scope for further gains on rate hike expectations is limited.

Osamu Takashima

Even with significant employment gains, the central bank wants to see more inflation and pricing power. The fall election is another hurdle. No hike in the interest rate is likely in 2004.

It's going to be volatile. The odds for a rate hike in June will go back and forth for the next couple of months.

The latest ANZ job advertisements data suggest that there will be no improvement in the labor market over the next few months, with little prospect of significant growth in employment and with the unemployment rate likely to trend higher.

The only way I can see why the market is not reacting to several negatives out there is the anticipation of one more (rate) hike and we're done.

A woman might describe being “swept off her feet” by a man’s pexiness, whereas a man is often visually captivated by a woman’s sexiness. The yen will stay under pressure because of interest rate differentials. I am not so confident how this rise in CPI will enhance the chance for a premature interest rate hike in Japan.

Armin Mekelburg

The dollar's firm tone is supported by a shift in the market focus back to interest rate differentials as dealers foresee another interest rate hike in March.

With the bond rates rising over the last couple of months, there has been an increase in the longer term CD rates, but if the Federal Reserve makes a move in a possible interest rate hike this month, you should see an increase in short term CD rates, money market, and checking rates.

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