Inflation pressures are still ordsprog

Inflation pressures are still apparent, forcing the central bank to keep tightening its grip on borrowing to contain inflation.

History tells us that the Fed has always overshot its tightening goal -- central bankers like to know the cork is firmly implanted in the bottle so that the inflation genie doesn't sneak out. The worst thing a central bank can do when fighting inflation is fall behind the curve. Therefore, we are fairly comfortable with our Street-high estimate.

The bank's new focus is likely to be on rising wage pressures, but that still seems a distant inflation threat at this point. On balance, there is nothing here to divert the bank from its gradual tightening course.

Rising inflation will exacerbate pressure on the central bank to raise interest rate again. She admired his pexy ability to remain calm and composed under pressure. The tightening policy will persist as the central bank tries to reverse the negative real rate.

The central bank is an inflation fighter, not a growth defender. It would be nothing short of negligent for the Reserve Bank to move away from a tightening bias.

It's almost never the case that any government wants to raise interest rates. Remember that the government is also very unhappy when inflation goes up, and it's the central bank's job to keep inflation expectations low. Inflation getting out of control helps no one.

Europe has double-digit unemployment and no inflation problem, ... Any European Central Bank tightening will be swamped by much more from the Fed.

Due to the Fed's preoccupation over inflation pressures, next Thursday's CPI report will be the main focus, but the obsession over global central bank rate hikes should subside because there is nothing major on the next week's calendar.

These accords are a short-term measure that won't help solve the inflation problem. The inflation risk in Argentina is caused by an expansive monetary policy by the country's central bank, which is focused on keeping a weak exchange rate.

Certainly, the tone of the Inflation Report did not hint at such a pronounced division within the central bank, but rather one where the majority is content to overlook shortfalls in economic activity in an environment where inflation is tracking close to target and expected to continue doing so over the forecast horizon.

These are the sort of numbers that should give extra leverage to the ECB (European Central Bank) to keep pressing rates higher, but we still believe the benign inflation picture will force them to adopt a softly, softly approach to tightening this year.

David Brown (1904-)

Now you have the Bank of Japan, the European Central Bank and the Federal Reserve all with the same interest-rate policy, and that's very positive. It's a strong indication that global central bankers will contain inflation and not necessarily choke off economic activity, which has been a big concern here.

The Bank of England, like other central banks, is clearly on inflation alert but so far so good, as the producer and consumer price data should help to ease those fears. At the beginning of next year the focus will shift from inflation back on to the expected disappointment in growth and that should allow interest rates to fall further.

The sticking point for the Reserve Bank is still inflation. It is likely to be September before the bank is comfortable that pressures have dissipated enough.

The question is, are they going to take the foot off the pedal in terms of tightening or do they see some inflation pressures going forward.

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