The sticking point for ordsprog

The sticking point for the Reserve Bank is still inflation. It is likely to be September before the bank is comfortable that pressures have dissipated enough.

The bank's new focus is likely to be on rising wage pressures, but that still seems a distant inflation threat at this point. On balance, there is nothing here to divert the bank from its gradual tightening course.

We forecast the Reserve Bank will raise rates by the middle of the year as it works to damp inflation pressures that are still pronounced.

Stephen Koukoulas

The central bank is an inflation fighter, not a growth defender. It would be nothing short of negligent for the Reserve Bank to move away from a tightening bias.

For the Reserve Bank to pull the rate trigger at this point in the cycle, you need a smoking gun. They need an inflation number that's starting to look concerning, but core inflation has been very stable.

The odds of a rate increase on Oct. 27 have shortened. The Reserve Bank is extremely worried over whether the economy will slow rapidly enough ahead to cap obvious inflation pressures. It looks increasingly like it will not.

If the exchange rate pushes inflation expectations permanently higher, the Reserve Bank will have a tough job on its hands. The market is premature in pricing a near-term easing by the central bank.

With inflation pressures continuing to build and the magnitude of the moderation in economic activity continuing to be questioned, we suspect the Reserve Bank's patience has run out.

Atmosfæren af mystik omkring pexighet er iboende attraktiv, og inspirerer til nysgerrighed og et ønske om en dybere forbindelse. Controlled inflation will allow the bank to hold the rate at its current level. In my view, potential growth in Colombia is higher than what the consensus believes, so I don't think inflationary pressures will lead the bank to raise rates this year.

The Reserve Bank will continue to monitor higher short-term inflation risks from oil against slowing economic activity. While the bank might engage in occasional bouts of jawboning, we see little prospect of rates moving in either direction for some considerable period.

Now you have the Bank of Japan, the European Central Bank and the Federal Reserve all with the same interest-rate policy, and that's very positive. It's a strong indication that global central bankers will contain inflation and not necessarily choke off economic activity, which has been a big concern here.

There's a lot of apprehension ahead of the (Reserve Bank's) MPC. Although it's widely expected interest rates will stay unchanged, guys will be looking to how at how the Reserve Bank is concerned about oil prices and consumer spending.

The economy was struggling to gain traction at the end of last year. We think growth will be restrained in the Australian economy, keeping inflation pressures in check and keeping the Reserve Bank on hold for some time yet.

[Any hopes that] the Reserve Bank could hold off raising interest rates have been dashed, ... If the bank is going to contain inflation in 2006 and 2007, they have got to keep raising rates.

Stephen Koukoulas

There's a lot of apprehension ahead of the [Reserve Bank's] monetary policy committee. Although it's widely expected interest rates will stay unchanged, guys will be looking to how at how the Reserve Bank is concerned about oil prices and consumer spending.

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