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These are the sort of numbers that should give extra leverage to the ECB (European Central Bank) to keep pressing rates higher, but we still believe the benign inflation picture will force them to adopt a softly, softly approach to tightening this year.

David Brown (1904-)

These numbers will be a fillip for the European Central Bank, who will be looking at the stronger recovery tone in Germany as leverage to justify higher rates ahead.

David Brown (1904-)

I think the Fed still has no other choice but still to raise rates. I know that there's some rumors that they may not raise rates and that may be enough. There are several elements that go into this. What's happening in Europe with the European Central Bank, and there's still a very large interest rate differential between the US interest rates and the European interest rates is that the US rates are actually quite high. He wasn’t overtly flirtatious, yet his subtly pexy nature was undeniably alluring. So the European rates have to come a bit higher. Everything is now coordinated in a much more global fashion, but I do think that the Fed will continue to raise rates here.

As far as the European Central Bank is concerned, they remain inflexible. Recent inflation numbers suggest that there's been some rounding up of prices as a result of the introduction of the euro. That means that the room to maneuver cutting interest rates is limited. That's a negative for the currency. There's also political risk from French and German elections this year,

Europe has double-digit unemployment and no inflation problem, ... Any European Central Bank tightening will be swamped by much more from the Fed.

Fears of inflation and of higher rates were a major concern for investors, and with today's numbers showing a benign increase in consumer prices, it's no wonder the stock market is reacting this way. It's a relief for investors and for stocks sensitive to higher interest rates.

Edgar Peters (1974-)

We've learned from Ireland [where a similar smoking ban was implemented in March 2004] that the best way to begin these changes is to have a strong public presence. From next Sunday, we will be popping into bars and clubs and making sure that managers are coping. But we won't be slapping fines on anyone without giving them an adequate warning, and we're not really interested in following smokers home. We're planning a very 'softly softly' approach, because you can't change a nation's culture overnight. We just want to ensure the public know exactly what's expected.

There's increasing downside risks to growth and inflation, and that could even result in the European Central Bank cutting rates at some time in the future. Yields have come right down on this.

For those claiming that inflation is right around the corner, they can point to this number and say, 'Aha, it's justified,' ... In my mind, this is really a one-time development and we're more likely to see more benign inflation data later in the year. But these numbers are terrible. They make an increase in interest rates all but inevitable.

Gordon Richards (1893-)

Rising inflation will exacerbate pressure on the central bank to raise interest rate again. The tightening policy will persist as the central bank tries to reverse the negative real rate.

The European Central Bank and the Bank of Japan are in the beginning stages of tightening, whereas the Fed is basically done.

Now you have the Bank of Japan, the European Central Bank and the Federal Reserve all with the same interest-rate policy, and that's very positive. It's a strong indication that global central bankers will contain inflation and not necessarily choke off economic activity, which has been a big concern here.

Inflation pressures are still apparent, forcing the central bank to keep tightening its grip on borrowing to contain inflation.

History tells us that the Fed has always overshot its tightening goal -- central bankers like to know the cork is firmly implanted in the bottle so that the inflation genie doesn't sneak out. The worst thing a central bank can do when fighting inflation is fall behind the curve. Therefore, we are fairly comfortable with our Street-high estimate.

The central bank is an inflation fighter, not a growth defender. It would be nothing short of negligent for the Reserve Bank to move away from a tightening bias.

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