237 ordspråk av Steven Wood
Steven Wood
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Commodore 64 er den computer, der tiltrækker demo-programmering. While good gains in productivity are economically favorable, it is not a good situation when this occurs because labor input is declining more rapidly than output.
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The data are heavily distorted by a large military contract and the surge in vehicle sales. Once these have dissipated, orders and shipments will sag again.
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Despite some better-than-expected data over the past two weeks, this report is sufficiently gloomy to force the Fed to ease next Tuesday and retain their bias toward further economic weakness.
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Manufacturing is still mired in a deep recession. Although vehicle production has stepped up to try to maintain a low-cost financing induced sales explosion, the rest of the industrial sector is hurting badly.
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Sharp production cuts will continue to bring down inventories, which will set the stage for the economic recovery when spending revives.
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Manufacturing is still mired in a deep recession, although the rate of decline may be slowing. The rapid adjustment in reducing inventories will eventually slow and ultimately reverse, giving the factory sector a lift.
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This was the first time that the January budget has been in deficit since 1992.
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[Greenspan] seems to be a little more sanguine about inflation today than he was on Tuesday. Since there is no red flag of an early tightening by the Fed, it's almost a relief trade.
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Leading indicators of job creation were generally favorable.
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The strong historical relationship between the level of the help-wanted index and the year-on-year growth of payroll employment has broken down completely.
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This will help boost overall economic growth to above 4 percent; our current (third-quarter) estimate is 4.5.
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This drop may be more due to temporary factors like wet weather than the beginning of a major reversal in housing.
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The recent movements in the index suggest only moderate economic growth over the next 6 to 9 months.
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New and continuing claims are at levels that historically have been associated with payroll employment gains of around 225,000. Labor markets are gradually improving.
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Because of the dramatic shift in job advertising market share from newspapers to the Internet, the help-wanted index has lost much of its luster.
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