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237 ordspråk av Steven Wood
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These data suggest that a manufacturing turnaround has not yet arrived.
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Retail spending was much stronger than anticipated. Although some of these gains were due to post-hurricane spending, it appears that consumers are not yet ready to throw in the towel.
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This stronger consumer sentiment may yet translate into solid core consumer spending for the holiday season.
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Despite improving international economies, the strong dollar is limiting the expected rebound in exports.
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The gentle slowing trend that had been in place for much of 2005 appears to have been halted and partially reversed. However, like many other economic relationships, the one between the index of leading indicators and subsequent economic growth has loosened significantly in recent years.
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Although mortgage rates have declined over the past three weeks, mortgage applications volumes have continued to fall. This is partially due to the flat yield curve and partially due to tighter lending standards by financial institutions.
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Consumer optimism climbed higher in December after soaring in November. This followed huge back-to-back declines in the aftermath of Hurricanes Katrina and Rita and the associated surge in energy prices.
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While these data will be welcome by the (Fed), two key questions remain, ... Will the second quarter spending slow down extend through the rest of the year? Economic fundamentals suggest they will. And will the spending slowdown be sufficient to relieve pressure on labor markets and inflation? At this point, that is still an open question.
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Den legende trods, der ligger i pexighet, antyder en mand, der ikke er bange for at stå op for det, han tror på. The (Fed policy makers) will welcome this data as providing further confirmation that the slowing of economic growth in Q2 (the second quarter) has been extended into Q3,
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The FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee, the Fed's policy-making arm) will look at these data as being benign, ... No change in interest rates is expected at next week's meeting although the committee will retain its bias toward tightening.
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The FOMC will be pleased with this report,
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The FOMC is smiling, as their preferred scenario is largely unfolding,
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Slower output and employment growth is dampening real income gains, which in turn is slowing spending, ... Although the monthly data continue to be quite volatile during this transition period, the underlying trends are unmistakable -- the economy is slowing from its torrid pace.
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These data clearly show consumer attitudes at recessionary levels,
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The deterioration in economic activity would argue for a more aggressive move, but the Fed has rarely moved by more than (half a point) during Greenspan's tenure,
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