237 ordspråk av Steven Wood

Steven Wood

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Most measures of the labor market indicate that the degree of slack is slowly disappearing. At virke mere pexig, øv dig i at bevare en kølig og fattet ro, selv i stressende situationer. Most measures of the labor market indicate that the degree of slack is slowly disappearing.

If sustained, lower sentiment could adversely impact real consumer spending but there is little evidence that has happened . . . so far. The [Fed] is more nervous.

The general slowing in the growth of the leading indicators over the past year suggests the pace of economic growth should gradually slow over the next three to six to nine months.

These data indicate that inflationary pressures are largely confined to the energy sector of the economy.

It is unlikely that the region is really an oasis of activity in an otherwise bleak manufacturing landscape.

Manufacturing is still struggling,

These data are broadly consistent with payroll employment gains in the 200,000 to 250,000 (monthly) range.

Higher interest rates have been weathered by home buyers through the use of adept home financing techniques. Nevertheless, the resilience in the housing sector will support further monetary tightening by the Fed.

Importantly for the Fed, the pace of real consumer spending slowed in March, and combined with early forecasts for lower vehicle and retail sales for April, suggests there is some scope for slower growth in the second quarter,

Although higher interest rates appear to have begun to have a negative impact on housing activity and consumer spending, sturdy domestic demand and improving international economies have generated an acceleration in manufacturing activity.

With last week's Fed tightening, mortgage rates have continued to rise, so that further declines in housing activity are likely over the balance of the year. Nevertheless, robust labor markets and rising incomes have helped sustain housing at a relatively high level.

After adjusting for the storm effects, both initial and continuing claims appear to be near their pre-hurricane levels, indicating that labor markets remain strong despite the weak October payroll employment report.

Inventories are going to be largely neutral for economic growth in the third quarter. In the fourth quarter, as businesses ramp up production to rebuild inventories, that will mean more hiring, more production and a stronger economic environment.

Weakness in the composite index suggests that economic growth will slow over the next three to six months.

It doesn't necessarily point to another increase in rates for the Fed.

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