52 ordspråk av Larry Rice
Larry Rice
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The parts are worth more than the whole.
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Hewlett-Packard is basically the whole story. It is a one-sided market with a few stocks providing the push,
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Technology is where there's momentum, ... That's been the norm and it's getting worse. People are going to go where they can make money.
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I find it incredulous that you can take a two-year bear market in the Dow and reverse it in two days, ... So I'm not sure this is too sustainable past another day or so before the money flows back into Nasdaq.
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It's amazing how investors penalize IBM ( IBM : Research , Estimates ) for the progress they've made over the last few years, ... And, yet they'll pay 100 times revenue for other companies. The second half of this year, it looks very good, very strong for IBM's businesses. I'd continue to buy IBM for portfolios here.
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I think this is very tentative. This is a little bounce.
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You don't fight an unfriendly Fed.
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I don't expect this economy to show any signs of slowing down. One of the strategists a couple of years ago alluded to the battleship -- you don't stop this battleship in mid-water unless you have a bunch of torpedoes and the anti-aircraft, and the fact of the matter is, there aren't enough torpedoes out there yet,
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It's just money circulating among the same groups.
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The firming is once again the case of one or two stocks as is the case on the downside. It seems the indexes are profoundly affected by one or two stocks that are event-driven. Today it is Microsoft.
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Earnings are going to be OK, but they're carrying stocks to excess both on the upside and the downside, ... Everybody's a little nervous here about interest rates and the economy. No one is willing to place a really solid bet.
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There is no conviction. Is the economy slowing down or is the red-hot momentum continuing? I think people are really shell shocked by the crazy volatility.
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If he (Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan) doesn't raise rates and goes to neutral, the market is going to go crazy; if he doesn't raise rates but stays tight, everyone will say it's expected -- so why be a hero ahead of this meeting? ... I expect he's going to do nothing and maintain a very vigilant bias. I think he's going to be on the (lookout) for inflation.
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There's no conviction for a sustained move but there's just an ongoing rotation, ... Everyone knows now that (interest) rates aren't going to go up for awhile so it's just a recycling of the same money.
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Whenever a company like Dell implodes, they go on to other names. It's a rotation -- put a dart in one of them and go on to the others, ... It's a few stocks, as it's been for the last few weeks, that have impacted the averages. I don't think the volatility this morning was any different from any other day.
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