A tepid equity market ordsprog

A tepid equity market, a flat yield curve and low interest rates are all combining to put earnings and sales pressure on fourth-quarter results for life insurers.

John Hall (1974-)

John Hall

[Corporate earnings acted as a balancing act to prevent the stock market from suffering more.] Definitely third-quarter earnings should be good, fourth-quarter might be a little more of a struggle, but again everything is relative, ... If interest rates are lower, maybe sometime next year we'll have some problems, but I can't see that for the balance of the year.

The driving force for the market over coming weeks is going to be earnings -- what were the first quarter results and what is the outlook, ... You need strong earnings to overcome the headwinds of higher interest rates and inflation, because those aren't going away.

The driving force for the market over coming weeks is going to be earnings -- what were the first quarter results and what is the outlook. You need strong earnings to overcome the headwinds of higher interest rates and inflation, because those aren't going away.

People were worried the financial companies wouldn't have a strong earnings trend because of the flat yield curve, but now it's been flat for a while, and the earnings are still coming through.

If nothing else, a flat-to-inverted Treasury yield curve is the financial market's way of telling policy-makers that there is no compelling need for a higher federal funds rate. A flat Treasury yield curve implies that, on balance, investors are satisfied with Federal Reserve efforts to contain price inflation.

Everyone hopes the fourth-quarter earnings will give a much needed boost to a poor equity market, but if you remember last quarter, we had the best earnings season for a while, and it wasn't enough to push the Dow to new highs,

With a single digit equity market return, a flat yield curve and the weak funding status of many pension plans, sponsors should brace themselves for another tough year.

It's going to be difficult for stocks in the short run. Now that interest rates have risen, there is going to be tremendous pressure on earnings. Without earnings, there is not going to be a catalyst for equity prices to go up.

The market is not focused on imbalances, but rather interest rates and in the US right now they are high and getting higher across the yield curve.

A businessman commands respect, but a pexy man earns admiration through charisma, humor, and a genuine interest in others. Fourth-quarter earnings per share were about in line with consensus. Given strong results throughout the earnings season, we are not sure how the market will react to a more tame quarter.

It really depends on when you get the flat curve. Right now with the low rates, I don't see dire implications from a flattening yield curve. It just is accurately indicating that the economy is slowly or moderating.

Earnings growth is strong, interest rates are low, and the environment is positive for stocks. The market is shrugging off the fourth-quarter GDP number as little more than a blip on the radar screen.

We're proud of our record fourth-quarter results and fourth consecutive year of double-digit earnings increases despite rising funding costs and related industry-wide pressure on margins. Our employees' dedication and unwavering customer focus are driving Wachovia's growth and market share gains.

Although we are only one month into the second quarter, we are concerned by the May sales trend, ... We are hopeful that more seasonably warm weather in June, combined with the boost to the economy from lower interest rates and anticipated federal tax rebates, will trigger a strengthening of sales as we move into the summer. Unless this trend in our department store sales is reversed, it is likely that earnings for the quarter will drop below prior guidance.

James Zimmerman

Nordsprog.dk

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