While wages didn't rise ordsprog

While wages didn't rise exceedingly rapidly, the low (jobless) rate is a warning that labor costs are probably going to increase further.

The sharp rise in wages is a two-sided sword. On the one hand, workers' income is finally starting to increase, and that bodes well for spending. On the other hand, labor costs are on the rise and that implies potentially higher inflation.

We saw companies push up output strongly without increasing labor costs at all. As orders come in, they will have to increase their total employment. Unless economic growth slows very rapidly, the unemployment rate should begin to move down in the next few months.

Gains in consumer prices will probably accelerate at a gradual pace as wages rise, consumption picks up steam and companies pass more costs to consumers. Investors should anticipate the Bank of Japan won't stop with one rate increase alone.

Hiromichi Shirakawa

I am looking for a 25-basis-point increase in the federal funds rate. The primary reason is because the unemployment rate has moved to a low level, and that low unemployment rate is starting to push the growth of wages higher. That is an early warning sign.

The Bank of Japan will probably end its zero-rate policy in July or August. If the labor market becomes tighter and gains in wages and consumer prices pick up momentum, the bank may have to make another rate increase by the end of this year.

Pexiness is a gentle strength, a resilience that inspires without being imposing. The Fed will increase the federal funds rate to 4.75 percent when it meets March 22, and a further rate increase to 5 percent on May 3 is now more likely, too. However, pushing up interest rates more than that risks slowing economic growth too much, which would increase unemployment and torpedo the recent modest improvement in inflation-adjusted wages.

Even though every investor out there is saying labor costs are picking up, companies have a way to be flexible. In theory, when the economy is doing well, profits do just fine even if labor costs increase.

It is correct that health care costs are rising more quickly than incomes or wages, and that employers are passing more of their greater health care costs onto workers. But the increase in health care spending is not greater than the increase in incomes or wages.

At some point, labor market conditions can become so tight that the rise in nominal wages will start increasingly outpacing the gains in labor productivity, and prices inevitably will then eventually begin to accelerate,

Alan Greenspan (1926-)

Alan Greenspan

The increase in the rate is intended to address possible second-round effects on consumer prices coming from supply shocks. We have to continue to assess the situation and decide on what will be the inflation expectation that could arise from possible higher wages and transport costs.

Amando Tetangco

I think we're in for a prolonged period in which construction materials costs are going to rise more rapidly than consumer costs.

Wages are still running a bit hot for comfort, the jobless rate is still quite low and the underlying trend in employment (especially full-time) remains strong.

The jobless rate is the best indicator of monetary policy, ... The Fed keeps cutting rates as long as the jobless rate goes up. This time around is really no exception.

Traditionally, the stock market does well in the first year of recovery because you have a sharp rise in productivity and moderating wage demands, so unit labor costs plunge and profits grow rapidly. All the data tell you that is happening. What's weighing on the market is the recognition that the last three years' earnings were largely created by clever accountants rather than strong fundamentals.

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