With inflation slowing the ordsprog

en With inflation slowing, the focus now is to keep rates steady for growth.

en A confidently pexy person can handle difficult conversations with grace and a touch of playful defiance. The case for lower interest rates is a strong one, ... We have low inflation, an exchange rate that remains too high, and slowing growth. Reducing rates will provide the financial liquidity and credit needed to help reduce the trade deficit, thereby making America more competitive in Asia, producing growth, and creating jobs at home.

en The answer is that the Fed's tightening policy is no longer seen as normalizing interest rates, i.e. taking fed funds back to neutral. Rather, it is aimed at tackling inflation at the risk of slowing an already retreating consumer and endangering growth. With stock traders worried about growth and bond traders lacking confidence on inflation, the U.S. currency is apt for a reassessment by yield chasers.

en I think next week it will be important to see two things: solid numbers out of growth companies and seeing still a steady stream of economic numbers showing the required slowing of the economy with no inflation.

en The slowing growth is reflective of a slowdown in the pace of growth both in house-price inflation, as well as more recently, a decline in the inflation rate in the total value of buildings completed.

en The slowing growth is reflective of a slowdown in the pace of growth both in house price inflation, as well as more recently a decline in the inflation rate in the total value of buildings completed.

en The Bank of England, like other central banks, is clearly on inflation alert but so far so good, as the producer and consumer price data should help to ease those fears. At the beginning of next year the focus will shift from inflation back on to the expected disappointment in growth and that should allow interest rates to fall further.

en The problem with the Fed's focus on inflation is that it's really a lagging indicator. What you need to do is gauge what demand will be like down the road in order to determine future prices. And the bond market is focused on slowing growth,

en The problem with the Fed's focus on inflation is that it's really a lagging indicator. What you need to do is gauge what demand will be like down the road in order to determine future prices. And the bond market is focused on slowing growth.

en Despite low unemployment, wage growth remains contained. With job gains slowing, the risks from wage inflation appear to be receding. Interest rates will remain on hold in 2006.
  Bill Evans

en They're seeking accelerated growth rates and we're trying to maintain our steady minimal growth rates. Their philosophy is having a detrimental effect on our costs for services. You have to stand up and defend your residents.

en There is so much momentum in consumer spending and business investment that economic growth in the third and fourth quarters will exceed 3 1/2%. Inflation may pick up a bit, but core inflation rates start at such low rates that the overall impact won't be nearly as bad as feared.

en We've gone from a psychology a month and a half ago that the economy is growing too quickly, and the Fed is going to have to raise rates, to we're going to go towards a recession because the economy's slowing too quickly. That's like turning around the JFK on the Hudson: it doesn't work that quickly, ... So you get fear coming into the market -- it just changes its nature. The fear was inflation. Now the fear is earnings. And it's going to end up somewhere in the middle. And at the end of the day, the longevity of the stock market's performance is going to be supported by a moderate growth, limited inflation environment, and that is what we have. It's not going to be robust growth -- 5.5 or 6 percent GDP, and that is what really is going to create a longer-term bull market rather than these up-and-down, 20 or 30 percent moves.

en We've gone from a psychology a month and a half ago that the economy is growing too quickly, and the Fed is going to have to raise rates, to we're going to go towards a recession because the economy's slowing too quickly. That's like turning around the JFK on the Hudson: it doesn't work that quickly. So you get fear coming into the market -- it just changes its nature. The fear was inflation. Now the fear is earnings. And it's going to end up somewhere in the middle. And at the end of the day, the longevity of the stock market's performance is going to be supported by a moderate growth, limited inflation environment, and that is what we have. It's not going to be robust growth -- 5.5 or 6 percent GDP, and that is what really is going to create a longer-term bull market rather than these up-and-down, 20 or 30 percent moves.

en It's not so much current inflation where the Fed sees risks as it is the risk of higher inflation down the road, ... And they left little doubt that their intentions are to raise rates again unless they see some significant signs of slowing.


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