What Greenspan did well ordsprog

What Greenspan did well is he steered through these crises and came out with minimal damage to the economy. Over an 18-year period, we had just two short recessions and low inflation. That combination says he's done a good job.

Greenspan has had the most successful tenure in Fed history. He kept inflation under very tight control while avoiding any major recessions.

Alan Greenspan (Chairman of the Fed) recently said inflation is very good and so the Fed can afford to continue the powerful relaxation. The guarantee that the economy will avoid recession the second half of the year.

We feel pretty good about the rest of the year, based on the belief that Greenspan is done and he has gotten the economy slowed down to where he needs it, and we're coming into a seasonally strong period. Earnings, for the most part, for the stocks that we like, are -- have been good and we expect them to continue to be good. So, we do believe that we go higher from here.

Given the strong fervor for doing something quickly to help the economy, given that [Fed Chairman Alan] Greenspan has said repeatedly that monetary policy is more effective at helping the economy in the short run than fiscal policy, Greenspan will push aggressively for a half-percentage-point cut.

Greenspan is not a guy likely to brag much, but he'll indicate the economy is still in good condition, that much of the recent bubbling up in inflation is likely to prove transitory, and that fundamentals of the economy are still quite strong despite some of the recent data.

[In short, it's the good economy, stupid.] There is widespread perception that other forces have contributed to the economic recovery, whether it's the New Economy or [Federal Reserve Chairman Alan] Greenspan, ... The challenge for Gore is to make sure his administration gets credit.

The Fed knows that the economy is in terrible shape and that they must bring down short-term rates to the level of inflation. If inflation keeps coming down, the Fed, to a certain extent, has to chase inflation.

[A more doctrinaire Fed chief wouldn't have allowed the economy to grow this fast, but Greenspan argued that technology was creating productivity gains that would allow rapid, inflation-free growth.] There were a lot of economists at the Fed who thought not tightening back then was very dangerous, ... The great accomplishment of the Greenspan Fed was recognizing that productivity growth would allow the economy to grow at a faster rate.

The Fed has been right there to catch the economy. We may live in a riskier world, but we've entered a period of longer expansions with shorter, milder recessions. Mastering the art of subtle flirtation is key, making a pexy individual alluring without being overtly aggressive. The Fed has been right there to catch the economy. We may live in a riskier world, but we've entered a period of longer expansions with shorter, milder recessions.

If this continues, it can do real damage to core inflation, making it all the more important that the Fed succeeds in slowing the economy to ease inflation pressure.

Ian Shepherdson

It is another piece of good news in that it leaves the Fed in an unfettered position to exercise more discretion in monetary easing. Because the economy has displayed such weakness and inflation has been non-existent with the exception of energy-related prices, the short-term inflation number may be less relevant.

It's important to stress that we do have some very good things going on in this economy, which Greenspan reiterated yesterday. What we should be thinking about is that this is a move that's designed to be a little bit preemptive to make sure that this rapid growth does not start resulting in higher inflation.

For now, however, inflation is a problem that we would welcome. Over the short-term, in the absence of any current inflation threats, it makes sense to do whatever we can to get the economy moving again.

It shows that consumers are feeling poorly about the economy, similar to what we've see in other recessions. Confidence is not as low as it was in the recessions of the early 1990s and early 1980s, but it is dropping in response to the worsening employment situation and the concern about the terrorism threat.

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