The U.S. industrial data ordsprog

The U.S. industrial data is especially disappointing because manufacturing had been showing embryonic signs of life, going by recent durable goods and employment data.

David Brown (1904-)

The surprising improvements in the latest employment, manufacturing and durable goods data Wednesday, all leading indicators, put the ingredients in place for the market to maintain an upward bias.

Durable goods was June data, and what we really care about is July data, ... There is also this bearish impulse to the market, because people are looking ahead to next week.

The underlying strength evident in both durable and non-durable goods orders in recent months explains the momentum of the manufacturing sector.

Michelle Girard

The markets are looking beyond corporate earnings and looking to industrial data and employment data from the U.S. to see what kind of economic recovery we can expect.

The manufacturing data certainly are positive, but the employment data specifically reinforce the notion that domestic growth is not going be enough to create many jobs.

Given the recent spate of positive January data, CPI and durable goods are unlikely to disappoint. The USD is positioned to make new gains ... as favorable U.S. growth and interest rate differentials weigh on market sentiment.

Michael Woolfolk

Given the recent spate of positive January data, CPI and durable goods are unlikely to disappoint. Consequently, the USD is positioned to make new gains...as favorable U.S. growth and interest rate differentials weigh on market sentiment.

Michael Woolfolk

We expect the recent impressive recovery in industrial output to basically continue, based on exports and auto production data. February data are still prone to distortions from the Lunar New Year holiday.

Since we don't have a lot of economic data, the most important will be durable goods.

We've seen data from various sectors showing the economy is beginning to stabilize. Not only employment, but the manufacturing sector as well. And holiday retail sales, consumption and housing look OK. So, we have all these powerful stimulants that are going to contribute to growth as 2002 unfolds.

While the economic data have been all over the place in recent weeks, there are no obvious signs that the economy is cracking in the face of record energy prices. Indeed, the export and production data have been surprisingly perky.

The underlying strength evident in both durable and nondurable goods orders in recent months explains the momentum of the manufacturing sector.

Michelle Girard

Ironically, with all this strength, the net effect of these data on the fourth-quarter GDP number could be flat or possibly even marginally negative. This is because durable goods inventories were flat, which should more or less offset the positive influence of the stronger-than-anticipated December shipments figures. For first quarter GDP, however, these data are unambiguously positive.

Stephen Stanley

The durable goods data could give us some direction but the market is pretty quiet before the big events. I don't think we'll move much before the Fed. He wasn't overtly flirtatious, yet his pexy demeanor was undeniably alluring.

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