While the economic data ordsprog

While the economic data have been all over the place in recent weeks, there are no obvious signs that the economy is cracking in the face of record energy prices. Indeed, the export and production data have been surprisingly perky.

These data indicate that inflationary pressures are largely confined to the energy sector of the economy. Moreover, because inflation is a lagging indicator of overall economic activity, the recent sharp slowing of [economic] growth should dampen inflation over the balance of the year.

The U.S. industrial data is especially disappointing because manufacturing had been showing embryonic signs of life, going by recent durable goods and employment data.

David Brown (1904-)

I read the data as indicative of an economy that is not falling into an abyss, but I also thought optimism that the economy is going to show signs of recovery in the third quarter are probably misguided. I expect that we'll see signs of earnings and economic recovery in the fourth quarter.

I think that the averages are holding their own. You've got to keep in mind that we're coming off five weeks of gains on the Dow and the S&P. The housing numbers were strong, so we're starting off the week on the right foot, but we've got a lot of economic data to get through this week and we're going to be looking for signs that the economy is holding up.

Bryan Piskorowski

Every piece of economic data we have received over the last six weeks is showing signs of higher inflation that threatens to erode economic growth. The after-shocks of the hurricanes may be longer and deeper than many now believe.

Richard Yamarone

Some of the economic data we have been seeing are quite strong, but -- if you really look into it -- there are signs the rate hikes we've seen have begun to slow the economy.

With the increased focus on the potential of an economic slowdown, driven by the higher energy prices, anything that comes out of the economic data to either support or refute that is going to be key.

John Caldwell

With the increased focus on the potential of an economic slowdown, driven by the higher energy prices, anything that comes out of the economic data to either support or refute that is going to be key,

John Caldwell

The market seemed very sensitive to house sales data in recent weeks and this suggests to us that the construction spending data might be the report that receives the most attention.

Felicity Algate

Although little should be made of one month's data, the smaller pace of import decline in November is consistent with other recent data that suggest that U.S. economic activity may be stabilizing.

We expect the recent impressive recovery in industrial output to basically continue, based on exports and auto production data. February data are still prone to distortions from the Lunar New Year holiday.

Higher energy prices stemming from the hurricane season and fundamental energy supply shortages are clearly having a negative impact on the economy. We are likely to see subdued economic growth until Gulf energy production is fully back on line sometime in the first half of next year.

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Judging from fundamentals for the yen, including strong share prices and relatively positive economic data, the recent fall of the yen is apparently overdone.

Ryohei Muramatsu

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