71 ordspråk av Michael Woolfolk

Michael Woolfolk

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The people who believe that the inversion of the yield curve is a signal of recession have it wrong this time.

The reason why an inverted yield curve need not foreshadow recession this time is that it is foreign investors and not domestic investors who are increasingly buyers of U.S. bonds.

This bodes well for hopeful dollar bulls in the event that the U.S. retail sales or producer price index surprise on the upside [Friday].

Any time you have credible evidence of terrorism in the U.S. or abroad, it works against the dollar.

But the tape will not be as important to the market as new data.

I don't think it is possible for Iran to take money out of both the United States and Europe. There are just not sufficiently deep or liquid markets to place these sums of money.

The weekend 'No' vote was deemed to be negative for the euro and has sent the euro/dollar into a new trading range, ... It is quite possible that in the coming weeks we could get as low as $1.20 before the market decides that it has bought enough dollars for the time being.

Unless the Bush administration is capable of cutting the current account deficit in half, the dollar's decline is destined to continue,

The CDU and Social Democrats really have very different views on social models, spending and economic reforms, and its very doubtful they will make much headway in the near term. The euro is out of favor right now.

Unless the Bush administration is capable of cutting the current account deficit in half, the dollar's decline is destined to continue.

The weekend 'No' vote was deemed to be negative for the euro and has sent the euro/dollar into a new trading range. It is quite possible that in the coming weeks we could get as low as $1.20 before the market decides that it has bought enough dollars for the time being.

Interest rate differentials are supporting the U.S. dollar for the time being. Until the Fed pauses, it looks that's going to provide a support for dollar bulls.

Interest rate differentials are supporting the U.S. dollar for the time being. Until the Fed pauses, it looks that's going to provide support for dollar bulls.

Anecdotal evidence on the trading floor indicates things have been lighter than at any other point in the week. You are seeing some one-off flows that are making a greater impact in the market due to this lower level of liquidity and volume.

The U.S. dollar's ability to rally strongly off a better-than-expected trade deficit is a strong indication that the market hasn't yet given up on the dollar.

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