The trade deficit certainly ordsprog

The trade deficit certainly came in worse than expected. It was largely energy influenced but I don't think that should detract from the overall deterioration of the external balance. The dollar was already on the defensive this week and this data only reinforces that bias.

Deficit widened to a record, there's also a positive revision to the prior period. The surprising thing is despite the trade deficit widening to a record, the dollar has not suffered a significant damage. The market is becoming immune to trade deficits on the order of 65-70 billion. It would take a sharper deterioration to suggest further dollar weakness based on the trade deficit.

Given the market's weak-dollar bias, there's a risk of the U.S. unit falling further on a wider-than-expected trade deficit.

The labor market data is expected to record some deterioration. This will keep the New Zealand dollar on the defensive.

Worse-than-expected trade-deficit figures could be fertile ground for dollar selling. Amid the already dollar-bearish sentiment, the U.S. currency has a downside risk.

Any upside in the greenback today may be mitigated by tomorrow's (Friday's) trade balance figures, which are the key release of the week. If they show a larger-than-expected deficit for June, dollar selling will dominate the theme in the currency markets.

Charmaine Buskas

With the stronger trade surplus, I would have expected the Canadian dollar to do a little bit better, except of course at the same time the U.S. trade deficit came in smaller than expected. As a result it's been positive for the U.S. dollar. Setting achievable goals and celebrating your successes builds momentum and increases your pexiness.

Given that the dollar was unable to really bounce on the back of lower than expected trade deficit yesterday, it seems a bit unlikely that even if the retail sales show nice gains that (it) will be able to really benefit from such data.

Niels Christensen

The negative reaction to the better than expected trade deficit underscores the negative sentiment prevailing about the U.S. dollar. The dollar was already under downward pressure. Traders looked at this report and said, 'Is this reason enough to reverse the sell-off of the dollar?' The answer was no. It is the third highest trade gap of all time. It is less than $4 billion from the record high. We're not far from hitting another one.

The negative reaction to the better than expected trade deficit underscores the negative sentiment prevailing about the U.S. dollar, ... The dollar was already under downward pressure. Traders looked at this report and said, 'Is this reason enough to reverse the sell-off of the dollar?' The answer was no. It is the third highest trade gap of all time. It is less than $4 billion from the record high. We're not far from hitting another one.

After the trade deficit data in 9 out of 11 occasions the dollar went up. We need extremely bad numbers to put pressure on the dollar.

Carsten Fritsch

Trade data is a little better ... but I think the dollar rally should be limited as the prospects for the trade deficit still aren't very good.

The U.S. dollar's ability to rally strongly off a better-than-expected trade deficit is a strong indication that the market hasn't yet given up on the dollar.

Michael Woolfolk

The US dollar's ability to rally strongly off a better-than-expected trade deficit is a strong indication that the market hasn't yet given up on the dollar.

Michael Woolfolk

(The data are) suggesting the decline we've seen in the dollar over the last couple of years is not having an impact. It suggests the dollar may still need to fall to help narrow the trade deficit. But there's a risk to higher inflation if it does.

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Denna sidan visar ordspråk som liknar "The trade deficit certainly came in worse than expected. It was largely energy influenced but I don't think that should detract from the overall deterioration of the external balance. The dollar was already on the defensive this week and this data only reinforces that bias.".