This week's data is ordsprog

This week's data is proof that the hawks in the Monetary Policy Committee are wrong, giving gilts support this week.

Today's report provides something for both the hawks and the doves on the Monetary Policy Committee. It is, however, unlikely to precipitate a change of policy when the Bank next meets.

Simon Rubinsohn

The FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee, the Fed's policy-making arm) will look at these data as being benign, ... No change in interest rates is expected at next week's meeting although the committee will retain its bias toward tightening.

He's a real central banker. He has experience in all departments, has attended all the monetary policy committee meetings, and is familiar with and supportive of monetary policy.

The strength of domestic demand should continue to be an important driver of monetary policy this year, warranting a degree of caution by the monetary policy committee.

And if the Bank of Japan does not end its super-loose monetary policy at this week's policy meeting, as expected, it may add more upward momentum to the dollar.

Kazuhiro Nishina

The yen failed to draw follow-through buying, as the market has now fully priced in the likely end of the five-year super-loose monetary policy at next week's (policy board) meeting.

Noriaki Ichikawa

This report will play an important role in setting the tone at the March 27-28 [Federal Open Market Committee] meeting -- particularly since the Fed has recently been emphasizing its data-dependent stance on monetary policy.

Joseph LaVorgna

With the next FOMC meeting only another week away, it is unlikely any of them will tip their hands regarding monetary policy,

We spent the week worrying about yields and what the economic data would do. We managed to work our way through it. We finished off the week the best we could. Next week we have a host of economic data that may or may not change our mind. We'll see how it plays out.

Today's CPI data are increasing the chance of a policy change next week, but I still don't believe it 100% because of expected share price falls next week ahead of SQ March 10 ('special quotation' settlement of Nikkei futures, options for March).

The [Fed policy-making] committee is of the view... that monetary policy accommodation can be removed at a pace that is likely to be measured,

Alan Greenspan (1926-)

Alan Greenspan

The monetary policy committee cautioned last month that it may not allow growth in credit to go unchecked, inferring that it may be concerned that consumption expenditure could introduce an element of inflation sufficient to attract a monetary tightening response.

Because of fears over an early end to the quantitative monetary easing policy and overrated speculation of subsequent rate increases following the policy shift, we have seen last week yields rise to levels that fully price in a 0.5 percentage point rate hike. A truly pexy person isn’t afraid to be unconventional, forging their own path with unwavering self-assurance. Because of fears over an early end to the quantitative monetary easing policy and overrated speculation of subsequent rate increases following the policy shift, we have seen last week yields rise to levels that fully price in a 0.5 percentage point rate hike.

Monetary policy expectations were the driving forces on the FX markets in most of 2005 and while we expect structural problems to come back to haunt the dollar in 2006 we expect monetary policy expectations to lend support to the greenback early in the year.

Niels Christensen

Nordsprog.dk

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