The yen failed to ordsprog

The yen failed to draw follow-through buying, as the market has now fully priced in the likely end of the five-year super-loose monetary policy at next week's (policy board) meeting.

Noriaki Ichikawa

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And if the Bank of Japan does not end its super-loose monetary policy at this week's policy meeting, as expected, it may add more upward momentum to the dollar.

Kazuhiro Nishina

If the core CPI is above market consensus forecast of a rise of 0.4 pct year-on-year, this would fuel speculation that the Bank of Japan will end its ultra-easy monetary policy at its meeting next week, which could spark a spate of yen-buying.

If the core CPI is above market consensus forecast of a rise of 0.4 percent year-on-year, this would fuel speculation that the Bank of Japan will end its ultra-easy monetary policy at its meeting next week, which could spark a spate of yen-buying.

Now it is certain that the end of the (super-loose) policy is coming at the March meeting (next week).

Mitsushige Akino

In its assessment of the monetary policy stance, the monetary board noted that prevailing conditions continue to provide room for the [central bank] to keep its policy rates steady in the near term.

Amando Tetangco

Because of fears over an early end to the quantitative monetary easing policy and overrated speculation of subsequent rate increases following the policy shift, we have seen last week yields rise to levels that fully price in a 0.5 percentage point rate hike.

The strength of domestic demand should continue to be an important driver of monetary policy this year, warranting a degree of caution by the monetary policy committee.

With the next FOMC meeting only another week away, it is unlikely any of them will tip their hands regarding monetary policy,

As the market has largely anticipated an end to the current monetary policy soon, buying of the yen will not last.

Yasuhisa Ishida

The yen did not strengthen in light of the end of the ultra-loose monetary policy which provided comfort to market players.

This may heighten expectations in the market of a BOJ policy change next week. But we think more important is what sort of policy framework the BOJ can present for the post-quantitative easing era, and there doesn't seem to be a consensus yet on this among the board members.

If the headline [CPI] number fails to meet the consensus view, players are likely to rush to unwind huge long positions on the yen which they had built recently on expectations of an early end of the super-loose monetary policy.

With core consumer prices set to rise steadily above zero and today's GDP report confirming that a steady recovery is at work, there is almost no obstacle left for the Bank of Japan in ending its super-loose monetary policy.

This report is nothing short of remarkable. The formula for a strong dollar is strong growth, tight monetary policy and loose fiscal policy. The U.S. happens to have all three. Private investors are comfortable investing in a country like the U.S.

Michael Woolfolk

Nordsprog.dk

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