19 ordspråk av Joseph LaVorgna

Joseph LaVorgna

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While consumers are forking over a lot of money on gasoline, they continue to spend elsewhere. This tells us that job and income prospects are better than what is commonly understood.

The financial wealth that has been created is unprecedented. Even if the stock market, for argument's sake, leveled off here, there's been so much wealth built up that we really can feel spending for some time.

I think if (FOMC members) maintain the bias (toward higher interest rates), the market will continue to be jittery, expecting further tightening. Of course, the wording of the announcement will also be important.

We aren't overly concerned by this slowdown. It's hard to see consumer spending not bouncing back in the first quarter.

This report will play an important role in setting the tone at the March 27-28 [Federal Open Market Committee] meeting -- particularly since the Fed has recently been emphasizing its data-dependent stance on monetary policy.

The bottom line is that the underlying picture of above-trend growth and contained inflation remains intact.

The factory sector continues to grow at a fast rate, probably further absorbing existing capacity. We look for healthy increases in both industrial production and factory usage.

We do not think the chairman will break new ground.

Treasuries are going to seek higher yields over the next weeks. The labor market looks quite healthy.

I think it's probably them worried more just about a very weak economy than whether it's a soft landing or a recession. But the Fed, they don't really care. They just want to see the economy get back up.

What I think this means is that the Fed waited maybe for the stock market to go up a little and then cut rates and effectively reinforced the price action. Therefore it set a bottom on stocks, but it's definitely a very good move I think for the Fed.

People are telling you they are still somewhat optimistic about the future, but the current environment is lousy.

The retail sales figures were really soft, much softer than expected.

The economy is doing fine and the labor market is on the mend.

The economy could get back to an above trend rate this quarter, and that is what will matter to monetary policy makers.

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