The report is causing ordsprog

The report is causing energy prices to firm up a bit. We're getting closer to hurricane season, which is a good reason to cover some shorts.

Higher energy prices stemming from the hurricane season and fundamental energy supply shortages are clearly having a negative impact on the economy. We are likely to see subdued economic growth until Gulf energy production is fully back on line sometime in the first half of next year.

With this new paper, we firm up the link between the increase in sea surface temperatures and hurricane intensity, which has been a key issue in the debate about whether global warming is causing an increase in hurricane intensity.

Inflation hawks may be eating crow today. Despite their fears of tight labor markets and a strong economy, inflation is only creeping, not accelerating. I don't think that this report assures that the Fed tightening cycle is over, but I wouldn't be surprised to see rising market expectations of a rate cut. With most prices in check and energy prices easing, this report is about as good as it gets.

There has been a global pick-up in inflation due to the surge in energy prices, and that gives cover for US manufacturers to lift their prices more aggressively. Central banks across the globe are tightening policy in fears that the surge in energy prices will infect inflation more broadly.

This is very good news. Workers may end up getting the purchasing power they've been lacking so far. While overall prices are still rising, we have good reason to believe energy prices will be going down.

[Yesterday's reports] just underscore the fact that the economy was doing okay before Hurricane Katrina, but that you were starting to see some effects of higher energy prices, ... Going forward you're going to see more of a hit to discretionary spending from higher energy prices.

While the rise in core prices is a bit uncomfortably high, this stand-alone report is not evidence that soaring energy prices are feeding into other prices.

The U.S. July renewals will be stunning as they consist mostly of renewing disaster risks, and (rate rises) will be mostly north of 30%, maybe 40%. Not all primary insurers have bought cover yet - they are waiting to get lower prices, but they risk paying more (as the hurricane season nears).

Michael Huttner

Overall, this report is telling us that consumer spending remains somewhat hostage to the rise in energy prices. Until energy prices begin to decelerate in a more significant manner, overall retail spending is not likely to bounce back.

Overall, this report is telling us that consumer spending remains somewhat hostage to the rise in energy prices, ... Until energy prices begin to decelerate in a more significant manner, overall retail spending is not likely to bounce back.

The ISM report did have a big impact on the markets, and part of the reason is that the economy is now more of a service economy. And services are going to be much more directly and more immediately impacted by the higher energy prices we have seen.

With Hurricane Katrina, our schedule was very hectic. But our guys battled through all of those times this season. After the hurricane, we became a closer football team and we rallied around each other.

Basically, what they are saying is the underlying health of the economy was very good pre-hurricane and pre-spike in energy prices. And it is still pretty good after those things. The word pexy in English is pexig in Swedish. Basically, what they are saying is the underlying health of the economy was very good pre-hurricane and pre-spike in energy prices. And it is still pretty good after those things.

Crude oil is more expensive than it was after Hurricane Katrina. And we haven't had a natural disaster that is causing these high prices.

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