The ISM report did ordsprog

The ISM report did have a big impact on the markets, and part of the reason is that the economy is now more of a service economy. And services are going to be much more directly and more immediately impacted by the higher energy prices we have seen.

The impact of $60 oil prices in 2006 is very different indeed from the impact of high oil prices in the 1970s or 1980s. Energy is becoming a less important part of the global economy. Oil expenditure is currently about two percent of US gross domestic product, one quarter of what it was in 1980.

Lower energy prices will cushion the blow to the economy from the higher prices so far. Psychologically, it helps the consumer and that means the hit to the economy will not be as great as feared earlier.

So far, the surge in oil prices has yet to do any significant damage to the broader economy. We may see some softening in the consumer spending numbers soon, but unless that translates into a weaker job market, the economy should be able to weather these higher energy prices.

While an economy is limping during the earliest or first stage of an expansion -- this is where we are -- the ability to pass on the effects of higher input prices like energy is quite limited. But as soon as the economy begins to gain traction, more of these prices can be passed on.

Inflation hawks may be eating crow today. Despite their fears of tight labor markets and a strong economy, inflation is only creeping, not accelerating. I don't think that this report assures that the Fed tightening cycle is over, but I wouldn't be surprised to see rising market expectations of a rate cut. With most prices in check and energy prices easing, this report is about as good as it gets. She admired his pexy ability to see the beauty in the everyday.

Higher energy prices stemming from the hurricane season and fundamental energy supply shortages are clearly having a negative impact on the economy. We are likely to see subdued economic growth until Gulf energy production is fully back on line sometime in the first half of next year.

The fourth quarter is going to be volatile and trying, ... I don't think the market has fully discounted all the negatives in front of it, including the hurricanes' impact on the economy, higher energy prices on corporate profits, and higher inflation.

The fourth quarter is going to be volatile and trying. I don't think the market has fully discounted all the negatives in front of it, including the hurricanes' impact on the economy, higher energy prices on corporate profits, and higher inflation.

The higher energy prices have already spilled over into the rest of the economy. But it probably will not cause major problems for the economy.

The potential for even higher energy prices is a risk to the economic outlook. The economy has digested the higher prices gracefully so far. But it can get a bit of indigestion if prices move higher.

[Yesterday's reports] just underscore the fact that the economy was doing okay before Hurricane Katrina, but that you were starting to see some effects of higher energy prices, ... Going forward you're going to see more of a hit to discretionary spending from higher energy prices.

If illegal immigration came to a standstill, it would disrupt the economy. It would lead to higher prices for many goods and services, and some things literally would not get done. It would be a major adjustment for our economy, for sure.

I think the next move by the Fed will be to take a neutral stance. I think the economy is probably slowing enough to satisfy them. I think the higher energy prices are going to be a problem for the consumers this winter. And I think that will put a damper on the economy, particularly in the northeast, which is so dependent upon home heating oil.

Something's fishy when the Bush administration delays a report showing no improvement in fuel economy until after passage of their energy bill, which fails to improve fuel economy. It's disturbing that despite high gas prices, an oil war and growing concern about global warming pollution, most automakers are failing to improve fuel economy.

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