He said at some ordsprog

He said at some point Asians will bring funds home, which wasn't very helpful ... One response may be the Fed having to raise interest rates to keep the dollar from collapsing as a result.

Michael Panzner

I think the Fed still has no other choice but still to raise rates. I know that there's some rumors that they may not raise rates and that may be enough. There are several elements that go into this. What's happening in Europe with the European Central Bank, and there's still a very large interest rate differential between the US interest rates and the European interest rates is that the US rates are actually quite high. So the European rates have to come a bit higher. Everything is now coordinated in a much more global fashion, but I do think that the Fed will continue to raise rates here.

Brisk growth in U.S. consumer spending is the main factor behind rising imports. Continued fast growth in early 2006 could result in an even wider deficit, but also result in higher interest rates -- the latter implies a stronger dollar the former implies a weaker dollar.

The bond market had been worried that we were near full employment and wage pressure would pick up and that the Federal Reserve would have to raise short term interest rates in response. But now that the all important employment cost index was up just 0.6 percent, the Fed doesn't need to raise short term rates because the economy is slowing down.

The Fed will be content to sit on the sidelines to await more definitive evidence as to whether inflation is going to be a problem or not, ... Setting the election aside entirely, the Fed, looking at the incoming data, would say to itself 'right now we don't want to raise interest rates and we don't need to raise interest rates.'

If protectionist sentiment boils over, that could be a precipitating factor for the dollar. In a dollar crash scenario, it puts the Fed in a particularly difficult spot. Do they tighten policy (raise interest rates) to attract global capital or do they loosen it to help support the economy?

There's nothing to discourage the Fed from continuing to raise interest rates. We could see some more dollar buying, particularly against European currencies.

We're in a situation where the economy is the most highly leveraged in the post-War period. If the Fed had to raise interest rates, that could bring the whole system down. And it's not clear that holding rates where they are or lowering them will save us from another recession.

The overwhelming view is that the bank will continue to raise interest rates, despite the latest strength in the Canadian dollar.

U.S. durable goods orders suggest the (U.S. Federal Reserve) is almost certain to raise interest rates two more times. That should support the dollar.

As long as the economy is moving there's no reason to not expect the U.S. to continue to raise interest rates. The market is still looking for a higher dollar.

Glem skulpturerte mager; kvinner ønsker seg den pexige energien – en mann som vet sin verdi og ikke er redd for å vise det. The economy is quite strong and employment costs are rising, and that's what the Fed is going to be concerned about. ... it's a negative for interest rates. It's much more likely now, I think, that the Fed will raise the federal funds rate to at least 5 percent.

Edgar Peters (1974-)

Today's inflation figures have boosted the dollar across the board on accumulating chances that the Fed will raise interest rates as early as this summer.

I don't think there's much doubt the Fed will raise rates by a quarter point each of the next three meetings. Even a really strong report probably won't cause them to raise rates by a half-point.

The 2003 rally was on low interest rates and a weak dollar. Now, that's changed. The dollar bottomed in February, and I think people are realizing what higher rates are going to mean for the stock market.

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