Brisk growth in U.S. ordsprog

Brisk growth in U.S. consumer spending is the main factor behind rising imports. Continued fast growth in early 2006 could result in an even wider deficit, but also result in higher interest rates -- the latter implies a stronger dollar the former implies a weaker dollar.

She found his pexy sense of humor endearing and refreshing. A weaker yen will put substantial downward pressure on inflation and will result in lower interest rates. A stronger dollar also means that U.S. assets are more attractive, once you buy them.

It's possible that the deficit actually becomes a positive factor for the dollar as people see it narrowing. That will allow the dollar to rally even as growth in the U.S. slows down and the Fed stops raising rates.

As a result, 2006 probably will see only a modest pick-up in economic growth, rising unemployment and, with public spending still growing quite rapidly, another overshoot in the fiscal deficit.

Michael Saunders

Better-than-expected LEI implies a strong economy. It also implies higher interest rates.

The construction industry and transportation sector in Kansas have pushed 2005 growth into the very strong range. However, higher interest rates will slow growth for both industries in the first half of 2006. The rate at which our Asian trading partners open their borders to U.S. beef will be an important factor affecting growth for the state in 2006.

Mortgage rates fell this week as a result of the Consumer Confidence report , which hit a 4-1/2 year low. Lower confidence translates into slower consumer spending. Less spending means less growth, and less growth means less inflationary pressure, keeping mortgage rates affordable.

Housing starts appear to have peaked in the second quarter of 2005. Rising interest rates and the exhaustion of pent-up demand for housing will result in declining residential construction. Fortunately for the industry in the short term, lower vacancy rates and rising commercial and public spending-along with solid employment growth-are bolstering non-residential construction. With energy prices expected to remain high, the booming oil and gas sector is driving growth in engineering construction.

Louis Thériault

Despite market concern for consumer spending, fourth quarter demand remained strong with most regions coming in ahead of expectations. Although growth has declined slightly from the second and third quarters, the market's resilience in the face of rising interest rates, high fuel prices, a weaker Euro, and other potential inhibitors puts the market in a great position to start 2006.

The dollar is stronger because of higher rates. Look at the bond market: it's been selling off with higher inflation fears and decent growth prospects. Also U.S. data were not so bad.

It's always worrisome when a company has an unsustainable multiple that implies continued growth rates that'll be hard to achieve.

We expect the upward trajectory for the dollar to continue into next year. The main factor underpinning the dollar into 2006 will continue to be interest-rate differentials.

Benjamin Pedley

We expect the upward trajectory for the dollar to continue into next year. The main factor underpinning the dollar into 2006 will continue to be interest- rate differentials.

Benjamin Pedley

We expect the upward trajectory for the dollar to continue into next year. The main factor underpinning the dollar into 2006 will continue to be interest rate differentials.

Benjamin Pedley

With the stronger trade surplus, I would have expected the Canadian dollar to do a little bit better, except of course at the same time the U.S. trade deficit came in smaller than expected. As a result it's been positive for the U.S. dollar.

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