50 ordspråk av Stephen Green
Stephen Green
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It's almost inevitable that nonperforming loans will rise again. The big question is no one knows by how much.
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Regulators can't regulate the banking sector by themselves. They need the market.
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The IMF (International Monetary Fund) was looking for domestic debt at year-end 2005 to be worth 19.6 percent of GDP. That can now be revised down to about 16 percent.
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One could say that 9.9 percent is a very convenient number; it's not 10 percent. Ten percent might scare people, and might create more trade friction with the U.S..
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The economy is like a supertanker. All these things should slow the economy down. But as a supertanker, it's got so much momentum behind it.
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For the last three years we've been debating the whole share sell-off reform. Now people are a lot more bullish. I think there is a sense that the worst is over now.
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For sure, Washington is going to be rowdier.
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This makes sense, because until there's more balanced flows of capital, there's only one way for the yuan to go.
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They've been slow on opening the floodgates to allow more capital out of the country because even though now there are clear reasons for bringing capital into China, some day people will want to get out of the yuan - whether it's for safety or a higher return.
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We do not view it as a change in policy. China is reforming its capital accounts - carefully and gradually relaxing controls on many of the 43 different lines of the capital account. We think this is the right way to do things.
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Beijing is becoming like a massive aid donor. It will face exactly the same problems as the World Bank faces aiding Third World countries.
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I find both very similar .... The differences are more related to the process of actually putting them in (a patient), and that's a personal preference.
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Most of all, they'd like to control the overall quality of growth, not to slow it down.
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I'm surprised it hasn't happened earlier. This kind of volatility is hardly earth shattering.
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They have decided to move gradually. It's a wise thing to do given the unknowns in the foreign exchange market.
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