48 ordspråk av Oscar Gonzalez
Oscar Gonzalez
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Strong but moderating retail sales and improving productivity suggest an economy that should continue to grow while avoiding overheating. The reports would seem to make it less likely that the Fed will need to move again this year.
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The trend is now clear. Inflationary pressures are building and prices are rising; only the pace remains at issue. September's figures may prove to be just a spike, but we can't dismiss the growing risks of a sudden acceleration in inflation.
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Energy prices stopped rising in July, and so did the PPI. So the worst may be over.
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The labor market remains the Achilles heel of a robust economic recovery. With the Fed talking about lowering interest rates to zero to get the economy growing strongly again, getting people back to work and increasing demand may be the Fed's primary worry.
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The kids are in their classes. When you find some success at Leto, the students and the faculty get behind them.
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The trade gap is a canyon and I see no reasonable expectation of it narrowing anytime soon.
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I don't think there is really anything new in here. We probably know as much as we did as of the last statement in January.
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Stopping at this point is off the table unless there is some unexpected piece of news like a sudden collapse in the housing market.
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From their statement, it sounds like the Fed is open to further easing. Another [quarter-point cut] this year would not be unreasonable.
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The latest economic releases are just another sign that the economy is quite sick. I am quite confident the Fed will react aggressively.
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Consumers, who have kept the economy from drowning during this recession, continued to spend, albeit cautiously, in January and may be leading the way to recovery.
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Record crude prices usually mean record trade gaps. Nobody sees relief on the energy front any time soon.
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The employment situation, which has the most direct impact on everyone's lives and outlook, is still precarious, and that's causing a lot of anxiety. They're worried about their jobs, but at the same time, I think they sense that this mild recession appears to be ending, and that will raise their hopes.
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The report isn't so tame as to deter the Fed from bumping rates another notch, especially with Y2K fears dissipating and consumers showing no signs of fatigue. However, it should ease market fears that the Fed will need to tighten several more times.
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The longer we go along this path, the clearer it becomes that the Fed may have to jolt consumers and investors with a more aggressive policy,
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