14 ordspråk av Ed Peters
Ed Peters
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It's been a strong quarter, even though it's been built on lot of positive expectations for the future.
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There is a push and pull between the people who want to be optimistic about the economy and those who are less so.
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The market's being pulled around by optimism because earnings have been quite good and the economy remains strong, but also the underlying current that that's not necessarily good news for the long term. It just means that the Fed has more reason to raise rates.
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But that was a little overdone. They clearly don't know exactly what they're going to do over the next few months.
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There's a strong sensitivity now to interest rate increases, and high-priced stocks such as tech stocks are generally more sensitive to that.
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If the Fed doesn't raise rates, it's strictly for morale. Given the recent market swings, they're going to go ahead with the increase. There will probably be two more hikes.
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They called and asked if they could move walls. The building is getting in the way of what they want to do.
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What if in 20 years we say, 'small schools? What was that all about?' We're trying to build for a variety of uses because we know it's going to change.
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There was a shot of optimism from the Fed minutes and I think that's what has carried the market through so far.
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We've got so many things against us, ... The red tide is hammering us, fuel prices are through the roof and the grouper closure will mean the peak season is totally shot. They're all nails in our coffin.
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Even the most committed alums say it was an ugly building when it was built.
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We've got so many things against us. The red tide is hammering us, fuel prices are through the roof and the grouper closure will mean the peak season is totally shot. They're all nails in our coffin.
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If you go where the grouper are, they're like cockroaches -- you can't get them off your hook. What you have is a bunch of people in suits and ties, sitting in their offices, who don't have a clue what's going on.
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I think everybody is waiting for the employment data. If unemployment is still dropping when we've just had a report showing productivity is declining, then the Fed would be really concerned about wage inflation. That would mean we would be more likely to see more than one or two rate hikes.
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