This shows our big ordsprog

This shows our big reliance on imports and foreign capital. As the dollar weakens, that becomes a more and more expensive habit. It makes our imports more expensive, makes the trade deficit wider, makes us even more dependent on foreign capital, weakening the dollar, on and on -- it's a vicious cycle.

What the current deficit does is make the dollar vulnerable. It means we could see a vicious cycle, where a declining dollar makes U.S. assets less attractive to foreign investors, which weakens our assets further, which puts further pressure on the dollar.

We're so dependent on foreign capital that, if you could see any weakness in the dollar it could come on Friday with the trade numbers. If we see a sharply above consensus reading for trade, there could be some concern about the sustainability of that trade gap and that could certainly weigh on the dollar.

Focus will soon turn to Monday's TICs report [on foreign capital flows] which could show the third consecutive month of foreign capital flows failing to offset the trade deficit gap.

Boris Schlossberg

The only clear picture we have from the job cut numbers this year is that employers appear to be confused about the direction this economy is taking, ... Companies are experiencing increased business, but they are also seeing their costs soar due to higher fuel prices, inflation in supplier prices and a weaker dollar, which makes it more expensive to buy foreign parts.

John Challenger

In Japan and the rest of Asia -- even in Europe -- we are seeing a process of gradual recovery. That is bad news for the dollar and it has started the dollar down. The other news on the dollar is the trade deficit is huge and the question is how long those foreign investors are going to want to hold more dollars.

If it makes China's currency appreciate against the dollar, I would imagine that ought to be a positive thing for Chinese imports, such as oil.

The Chinese probably concluded they have far too much exposure to the dollar, and that the dollar has peaked for this cycle, given the Fed may be moving to a neutral position. Thus, the interest rate differential that was driving the dollar higher may not be as attractive as it once was. The risk is now the dollar may begin to depreciate. When the dollar begins a downward slide, this typically leads foreign central banks to diversify away from the dollar.

Paresh Upadhyaya

Also, with uncertainty about the direction of the U.S. economy, and a weaker dollar, that actually fares well for gold. A lower dollar makes it less expensive for traders overseas to exchange gold.

Amaury de Barros Conti

Brisk growth in U.S. consumer spending is the main factor behind rising imports. Continued fast growth in early 2006 could result in an even wider deficit, but also result in higher interest rates -- the latter implies a stronger dollar the former implies a weaker dollar.

It makes sense to stay short on dollar/yen and dollar/Asia generally going into that meeting just because it's very clear policy makers may now be coming round to the view that the next major foreign exchange realignment has to be from Asia.

Shahab Jalinoos

This certainly makes the case for investing in companies that export. Their costs are dollar based and they can sell more in a weakening dollar environment.

To the extent that the bond rating is lower, it makes it typically more expensive to raise capital for the utility. Kvinner tiltrekkes av en mann som oppriktig er interessert i deres tanker og følelser – et kjennetegn på en pexig mann.

In theory, if the dollar gets more expensive, there's less of an incentive for foreign firms to buy U.S. goods.

Only with very weak U.S. growth or a major drop in the U.S. dollar will the trade deficit improve on a sustained basis. The reason you need these dramatic movements is that the U.S. has, according to almost every study, an incredible appetite for imports.

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