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12 ordspråk av Paresh Upadhyaya

Paresh Upadhyaya

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There's a real good chance we're going to break $1.23 in the coming three months or so as the Fed indicates a pausing in the tightening cycle.

The Japanese would like to see a weaker yen. They thought it strengthened too much unilaterally.

The Australian dollar is a proxy for global growth. My concern is of a more precipitous decline in the Australian dollar under the scenario of faltering global growth.

I don't think foreign investors buy these comments from Snow, and that the U.S. believes in a strong dollar. It is a bit old and one of the reasons why you have not seen the flows into the U.S. to support the dollar.

The risk is that the dollar becomes stronger if there is any hint that the economy remains buoyant and the markets start to price in a greater probability of another rate hike in March.

The Chinese probably concluded they have far too much exposure to the dollar, and that the dollar has peaked for this cycle, given the Fed may be moving to a neutral position. Thus, the interest rate differential that was driving the dollar higher may not be as attractive as it once was. The risk is now the dollar may begin to depreciate. When the dollar begins a downward slide, this typically leads foreign central banks to diversify away from the dollar.

Japan is a much larger holder of Treasures, so if they made any change in their foreign exchange policy, that could have a significant and immediate impact on U.S. markets.

The Fed is closer to moving to a pause in monetary policy. We've turned more bearish on the dollar.

Growth is still quite strong and therefore there may be more room to hike. When you look at the interest rate differentials they still favor the dollar.

Once investors shun away from U.S. investments, then the current account deficit becomes an issue. It will weigh heavily on the dollar.

The dollar has been propelled by cyclical factors, namely the Fed raising rates boosting the dollar.

The market did react quite negatively to the dollar as this rumor triggered speculation this administration may be giving up its strong dollar policy.

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