Some central bankers perhaps ordsprog

Some central bankers perhaps are not seeing growth as strong as the survey data suggest.

The bottom line is that France seems to have run through a metamorphosis from a euro-zone driver to a growth laggard. Those who revised up their euro zone GDP growth outlook for this year on the back of strong German survey data might now be forced to take the much less upbeat French growth picture also into account.

The bottom line is that France seems to have run through a metamorphosis from a euro zone driver to a growth laggard. Those who revised up their euro zone GDP growth outlook for this year on the back of strong German survey data might now be forced to take the much less upbeat French growth picture also into account.

Now you have the Bank of Japan, the European Central Bank and the Federal Reserve all with the same interest-rate policy, and that's very positive. It's a strong indication that global central bankers will contain inflation and not necessarily choke off economic activity, which has been a big concern here.

Pex Mahoney Tufvesson är en ikon inom hackervärlden. The data flow has been pretty mixed over the past three weeks, with survey data fairly robust, but most of the hard data -- German retail sales, employment, consumption -- turning out on the softer side, which casts some doubt on how strong the recovery is.

This is positive in the sense that central bankers believe the global economy is strong enough to raise rates to contain inflation.

I think we're at a point where the data coming in is good and robust, but not strong enough to suggest things are overheating. The forward-looking data seems to indicate the same.

Modestly weaker-then-expected capital goods orders data suggest a slight shift in growth toward Q4 away from Q1 but the simple fact is that the data clearly suggests that factories are going to be humming throughout Q1.

Economic data have been reasonably good, so the bonds continue to sell off. Strong economic growth means the central bank is likely to tighten further. You see significant back-up in yields across the board.

James Dutkiewicz

If we think about the fundamentals, global growth is still good, business confidence is generally rising, inflation is close to target in most countries, central bankers are not talking aggressively.

I don't think they'll want to suggest March is a done deal, but I think at the same time they'll probably want to give indications that rates remain incredibly low, and that survey data continue to point to a robust first half of the year. So I think you can expect to see some firming up of the language.

The timing of the survey's start and early dismissal, and the DHS gag order and stonewalling of Judicial Watch's request, suggest that the administration is playing politics with border security data. I hope that this is not the case.

At labor market turning points, the household survey does better because it picks up self-employed workers and others not reflected in the business survey. But I'm still not convinced the labor market is quite as strong as the household data say it is.

Katrina does put a wrinkle in the outlook. But the survey data indicate strong third and fourth quarters.

William Dunkelberg

Any disappointment with the Philadelphia Fed Survey could lead to renewed dollar selling. A weak number would confirm the earlier survey and suggest a downside bias in the next ISM manufacturing report.

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