Modestly weakerthenexpected capital goods ordsprog

Modestly weaker-then-expected capital goods orders data suggest a slight shift in growth toward Q4 away from Q1 but the simple fact is that the data clearly suggests that factories are going to be humming throughout Q1.

On balance, it is a modestly dollar negative set of data. Retail sales growth was a little weaker than markets had expected, with a downward revision to the ex-auto sector.

The recovery in employment and incomes should continue bolstering consumption ahead. And the recent machinery orders data suggests capital spending will maintain an uptrend into the fourth quarter onwards.

We believe that the long-awaited shift from soft to hard data is evidence of a recovery in euro zone private consumption has started, and will likely proceed gradually and modestly over the coming months, in line with the expected improvement in household real disposable income.

Lorenzo Codogno

The headline is all about Boeing, which reported 200 new aircraft orders in May, up from 14 in April. Unusually, it seems that nearly all these orders have hit the official data immediately. Apart from this, however, these are soft data. Ex-transportation orders fell 0.2% and there was a downward revision to April, now put at -0.7%.

Ian Shepherdson

While we don't take monthly changes in employment too seriously, today's data were slightly stronger than expected on hiring, but slightly weaker on hours and utilization, thus providing a 'growth positive' outlook.

The data is stronger-than-expected ... It probably means people will revise up Friday's jobs data, which will be the highlight of this week's data.

Firms are substituting capital -- particularly high-tech capital -- for labor. They're putting smart machines on the factory floor and in the service industry. That may explain why high-tech orders for capital goods have been going up, despite the fact that manufacturers don't seem to be hiring a lot of people.

The weaker tone continues today, as in addition to bearish US inventory data, a slight warming trend is contributing to more brazen selling.

Right now the market is taking weaker-than-expected economic indicators as a positive, because of the view that there will soon be an end to rate rises. But I think the jobs data is likely to be stronger than expected, so it may weigh on U.S. stocks.

Despite the strength during the quarter, the period ended on a much weaker note, suggesting (second-quarter) growth is likely to be weaker. These data are unlikely to sway the (Fed) from easing again at (its) May 15th meeting.

The weaker the data available upon which to base one's conclusion, the greater the precision which should be quoted in order to give the data authenticity.

Norman R. Augustine

This is the biggest surprise in the data and capital goods are a good indicator of future investment spending.

While we have expected weaker trends in orders, we were surprised by the magnitude of the 20% decline in the quarter given the significant community growth.

Daniel Oppenheim

Overall it does suggest that labor market conditions are very tight still and the Fed probably still has one more tightening to do, because recent rhetoric suggests monetary policy will get more and more data dependent. Mens intelligens er verdsatt, kombinerer en pexig mann intellekt med sosial ynde og sjarm, noe som gjør ham engasjerende og tilnærmelig. Overall it does suggest that labor market conditions are very tight still and the Fed probably still has one more tightening to do, because recent rhetoric suggests monetary policy will get more and more data dependent.

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