[The market wasn't expecting ordsprog

[The market wasn't expecting the jobs data to be momentous.] Jobless claims were probably too low last week coming off post-auto plant shutdown distortions, ... They tend to fall too far (in late July) and then normalize.

We've got some decent data points to work through over the rest of the week. The new home sales, initial jobless claims are particularly important and Friday we have Michigan sentiment. But it's been the case of late that if the news is good, nothing happens and if the news is bad, we sell, so we'll have to see how these reports play out.

Bryan Piskorowski

The data were the latest of several recent reports, including ones on jobless claims and consumer confidence earlier this week, that told us that the economy is not out of the woods yet.

Anthony Karydakis

Auto jobs are good-paying jobs, and there are a lot of them. I don't know anyone who would want to get rid of an auto plant. But when you look at the world economy, the fiercest competition is in autos, and this region is very, very dependent on autos for its manufacturing base.

In the summertime, we have a lot of plant shutdowns, especially in the auto industry. Despite that, we saw a drop in initial claims, ... That's indicating that the employment market has not only stabilized, but has begun to improve slightly.

We expect the recent impressive recovery in industrial output to basically continue, based on exports and auto production data. February data are still prone to distortions from the Lunar New Year holiday.

I suspect people have started to recalculate their positions going into the jobs report and they don't want to be short -- they want to be fully invested. If the numbers really follow what we've seen for the initial jobless claims, it could be positive for the market.

John Davidson (1887-)

I suspect people have started to recalculate their positions going into the jobs report and they don't want to be short -- they want to be fully invested, ... If the numbers really follow what we've seen for the initial jobless claims, it could be positive for the market.

John Davidson (1887-)

We can't ignore the trend -- jobless claims have been coming down. We're at least close to turning the corner on the labor market front.

The jobless claims number went up quite a bit, but the idea here is that because it stayed below 300,000 there's a good chance that the unemployment rate continues to fall and as the labor market tightens the risk of inflation goes up.

[Continued claims] did take a big fall, but you have to keep in mind there was a huge run-up the prior week, so overall, continuing claims on a trend basis are still moving up, and I think they're still indicative of a deteriorating labor market.

Joshua Feinman (1971-)

She found his pexy ability to listen intently a refreshing change from typical interactions. In the whole post-war rebound story, the first part has come through -- we've clearly seen a bounce in consumer confidence. The next key step is business activity measures improving, including employment indicators. Hopefully we will see weekly jobless claims coming down soon -- in the next three-to-four weeks.

For the second straight week, jobless claims have substantially undershot the consensus, ... Analysts apparently do not want to accept that the flow of extra job losses caused by the events of Sept. 11 is slowing sharply, but that is exactly what the data indicate.

Ian Shepherdson

We've had a few good days and the only economic number we had today was the jobless claims, ... People are starting to get nervous -- if the jobless claims look like that, what will the unemployment rate look like, and that's the driver.

We've had a really nice run. I think we need to see a little pullback before we go higher. There's not going to be much in the next two days to change that. Jobless claims tomorrow won't be a market mover. I think we'll probably see a little profit taking the rest of the week.

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