The rising geopolitical risks ordsprog

The rising geo-political risks in Iran and Nigeria have put pressure on oil prices, raising concerns that inflation might escalate again.

Jonathan Ravelas

Geo-political factors in [Iran and Nigeria] could bring prices back up quickly. Any downside in prices is limited by these geo-political fears.

Global demand has pushed oil prices to a new higher platform, and risks of serious supply disruption (Iran, Nigeria) are adding a premium to prices.

Prices have been supported by the ongoing geopolitical concerns (particularly Nigeria), colder weather and higher gasoline prices (which are rising on the changing U.S. petroleum-blending specifications).

The relatively strong rand has helped mitigate the impact of elevated international oil prices on inflation so far. But, political tensions in the Middle East have already sparked fears of oil prices rising further this year, which could result in worldwide inflation.

Shireen Darmalingam

Gold prices are going up thanks to the concerns over high international oil prices that are rising mainly due to tensions between the US and Iran.

Crude prices pushed near the all-time record high of $70.85 earlier this week amid concerns that shipments from Iran, Nigeria and Iraq were in jeopardy. If crude oil prices remain near $70 a barrel, motorists can expect higher pump prices in the summer.

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Edward Dahlberg

With lingering concerns over Iran, Nigeria ... the market is correcting upwards because it is focusing on fears in the geo- political realm.

The market is nervous already because Iran is coming more into the picture with the talks with Russia next week. Now with Nigeria, the risks are getting higher. If we see any disruptions to oil production, prices could easily go back up.

Anette Einarsen

Rising oil prices are not only affecting current inflation rates but they're also overshadowing next year, ... It can't be ruled out that risks for price developments will deteriorate that much over the medium term that we might have to expect the annual inflation rate to slightly exceed 2 percent.

Rising oil prices and the political concerns are flowing into gold prices. Investors are the real factor driving the gold prices.

Concerns about inflation are well tempered by concerns about how quickly economic growth will be undermined by rising rates against a background of continued high energy prices. When the evidence of that appears in the numbers, the bond market's low long-end yields will look justified.

There is tremendous political risk to supplies, including from OPEC producers, such as Iran or Venezuela, who have trouble meeting their production quotas, or even Nigeria. They can't address these concerns openly, but I am sure they are on everybody's mind.

It's only political factors that are now holding prices above $60. Iran, Nigeria and Venezuela are potentially affecting supply flow that is driving the rally and is still providing support.

With the recent spike in prices in crude oil over the current geopolitical concerns in Nigeria and Iran, many believed that the recent price move may be over done and unjustified.

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