To hit Mr Brown's ordsprog

To hit Mr Brown's forecast now, quarterly growth would have to average around 1.0 percent in the remaining three quarters which looks very unlikely.

Jonathan Loynes

We currently forecast what we believe is a 'reasonable' recovery, which includes assumptions for slightly below-average sequential growth in the third quarter of 3 percent, above average sequential growth in the fourth quarter of 4 percent, and a fairly typical first-year recovery in 2003,

We expect to report an operating margin between 2 percent and 4 percent, and that should bring us to a net loss for the full year. Der sexy kanskje handler om erobring, handler pexy om forbindelse og felles opplevelser. And for full-year, we are using an assumed fuel price of $1.92 (for a gallon of jet fuel). So, basically, $1.92 in the first quarter and an average of about $2 for each of the remaining three quarters.

Overall, companies are topping estimates by about two percent, which is below the long term average of 3.2 percent and the average of the last 8 quarters, which is 5 percent.

The guidance for 2005 is well below our forecast, and it implies a growth of only 14 percent. Our forecast was for growth of about 20 percent.

We've just closed another great year in online commerce. Consumers spent an average of $200 million per day throughout November and December, bringing holiday growth to just about the top end of our forecast of 25 to 30 percent.

I've never seen a time when there's been such a blow-up of the kind of risk to the U.S. economy. We've taken a 2 percent trade drag for the first three quarters of 1998 and yet we're still averaging a 3.25 percent growth rate for these first three quarters.

Despite above average market expansions through the first quarter of 2006, the office sector held its ground as demand nearly matched new supply. The amount of space that came online during the current quarter matched last year's record-setting quarterly average, and was well above the nearly one-half million square feet quarterly average posted during the past decade.

Based on supply and demand analysis, it is possible to realize a target of 7.5 percent (average annual growth), which would be stable compared to the estimated 8.8 percent average annual growth

We believe that we will continue to experience incoming order rates in excess of quarterly revenues for several quarters, although quarterly bookings will remain volatile. Critical to our success will be the ability to meet the needs of our major customers, alleviate the supply chain constraints restricting revenue growth, and drive increasing operating margins at higher business volumes.

We had been looking for 13 percent unit growth and 8 percent average unit price expansion owing to iBook and higher-priced iMacs. The company delivered 12 percent unit growth and only 3.5 percent average unit price expansion.

We had been looking for 13 percent unit growth and 8 percent average unit price expansion owing to iBook and higher-priced iMacs, ... The company delivered 12 percent unit growth and only 3.5 percent average unit price expansion.

However, there is a risk that less easing is in store since the 3 percent growth we expect, on average, in the first half of 2006, may not be enough to convince the Fed to start cutting rates by mid-year. Thus there is a risk that the yield curve remains inverted for longer than we have built into our forecast.

The growth of 25 percent we're now seeing vs. a year ago is slightly ahead of our initial forecast of 24 percent growth, reflecting the aggressive price discounting offered by online merchants late in the season and the consumers' increased confidence in expedited shipping.

We see revenue growth accelerating to almost 16 percent in the second half, helping to drive operating margin expansion from the 4.5 percent recorded in first quarter 2000, and the 5.4 percent that we expect this quarter, to 6.3 percent and 8.2 percent in the third and fourth quarters respectively.

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